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Прогнозы точного счёта · топ-3 счёта

2026-10-06 · 61 матчей

Сначала матчи в прямом эфире, затем по времени начала.

Correct score predictions today cover 61 matches across FA Cup, Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Serie B, UEFA Nations League, Division 1. The Poisson model analyses xG data for each fixture to calculate the probability of every possible scoreline — today's highest-confidence pick is 0-1 in Goiás vs Athletic Club (undefined% probability).

Начало	Матч	Лучшие счёта
18:00	JS Kabylie MC Alger Ligue 1	1 – 112.9%1 – 011.3%0 – 19.8%
18:00 JS Kabylie MC Alger Ligue 1 1 – 112.9%1 – 011.3%0 – 19.8%
18:00	JS Saoura USM Khenchela Ligue 1	1 – 013.8%1 – 111.5%2 – 011.3%
18:00 JS Saoura USM Khenchela Ligue 1 1 – 013.8%1 – 111.5%2 – 011.3%
FT	Banfield1 Rosario Central1 Liga Profesional de Fútbol	1 – 113.4%1 – 012.8%0 – 111.5%
FT Banfield1 Rosario Central1 Liga Profesional de Fútbol 1 – 113.4%1 – 012.8%0 – 111.5%
FT	Korea Republic2 Uzbekistan0 Friendly International	1 – 112.1%1 – 010.7%2 – 19.2%
FT Korea Republic2 Uzbekistan0 Friendly International 1 – 112.1%1 – 010.7%2 – 19.2%
FT	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor6 Silifke Belediyespor0 Turkish Cup	1 – 19.3%2 – 19.1%1 – 27%
FT Bitlis Özgüzelderespor6 Silifke Belediyespor0 Turkish Cup 1 – 19.3%2 – 19.1%1 – 27%
FT	Kırklarelispor1 Bayburtspor0 Turkish Cup	1 – 19.3%2 – 19.1%1 – 27%
FT Kırklarelispor1 Bayburtspor0 Turkish Cup 1 – 19.3%2 – 19.1%1 – 27%
FT	China PR0 Tajikistan1 Friendly International	1 – 112.4%1 – 010.5%2 – 18.9%
FT China PR0 Tajikistan1 Friendly International 1 – 112.4%1 – 010.5%2 – 18.9%
FT	Azerbaijan U213 Gibraltar U210 UEFA U21 Championship Qualification	1 – 110.1%2 – 19.8%1 – 08.7%
FT Azerbaijan U213 Gibraltar U210 UEFA U21 Championship Qualification 1 – 110.1%2 – 19.8%1 – 08.7%
FT	Kazakhstan2 Faroe Islands2 UEFA Nations League	1 – 112.7%1 – 012.4%0 – 19.1%
FT Kazakhstan2 Faroe Islands2 UEFA Nations League 1 – 112.7%1 – 012.4%0 – 19.1%
FT	India1 Uruguay6 Friendly International	1 – 112%1 – 09.8%2 – 19.1%
FT India1 Uruguay6 Friendly International 1 – 112%1 – 09.8%2 – 19.1%
FT	Sakaryaspor2 Arıt Kayadibispor0 Turkish Cup	1 – 19.3%2 – 18.8%1 – 27.3%
FT Sakaryaspor2 Arıt Kayadibispor0 Turkish Cup 1 – 19.3%2 – 18.8%1 – 27.3%
FT	Moldova U213 Kazakhstan U212 UEFA U21 Championship Qualification	1 – 110.7%2 – 19.3%1 – 07.9%
FT Moldova U213 Kazakhstan U212 UEFA U21 Championship Qualification 1 – 110.7%2 – 19.3%1 – 07.9%

The highest-confidence correct score prediction today is 0-1 in Goiás vs Athletic Club (Serie B), with a undefined% probability according to the model. This means the Poisson distribution assigns a undefined% chance to this exact scoreline occurring — the strongest single-scoreline signal on today's slate. While no scoreline prediction is ever certain, this match stands out because the model's xG inputs converge clearly on one result.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted scoreline is 1-1, appearing as the top pick in 9 fixtures. This aligns with historical football data showing that 1-1 is among the most common final scores in the sport. The Poisson model naturally favours lower-scoring outcomes because football is a low-scoring game where results like 1-0, 1-1, 2-1, and 0-0 dominate the probability distribution for most matches.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific xG metrics — attack power, defensive strength, and overall goal expectation — sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly on our accuracy page.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

Прогноз на точный счёт предсказывает точный итоговый счёт футбольного матча. Наша модель вычисляет вероятность каждого возможного счёта (0-0 до 5-5) используя распределение Пуассона на основе ожидаемых голов (xG) каждой команды.

Прогнозы на точный счёт по своей природе имеют низкую вероятность — даже наиболее вероятный счёт редко превышает 12-15% шанса. Наша модель правильно определяет 3 наиболее вероятных счёта примерно в 25-30% матчей.

Исторически 1-1 — самый частый точный счёт, за ним следуют 1-0, 2-1 и 0-0. Модель Пуассона отражает это, поскольку футбол — низкорезультативный вид спорта.

Сегодня наиболее вероятный точный счёт — 0-1 в матче Goiás против Athletic Club (Serie B), с 13.7% вероятностью по модели.

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