A half-time 1X2 prediction forecasts whether the home team (1), away team (2), or neither (X draw) will be leading at the interval. The model uses first-half expected goals to calculate these probabilities.
Yes — 0-0 is the most common half-time scoreline in football because first-half xG typically ranges 0.7-1.0 combined goals. This makes the draw the most frequent half-time result.
The model divides each team's full-time xG by 3 to estimate first-half scoring, then uses the Poisson distribution to compute home win, draw, and away win probabilities for the first half.