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Under / Over Goals · best goal line per match

2026-10-26 · 47 fixtures

Live matches first, then by kick-off time.

Over/under goals predictions today cover 47 matches across LaLiga, Ligue 1, Primeira Liga, Super Lig, MLS. The Poisson model calculates the probability of total goals exceeding or staying under each goal line (1.5, 2.5, 3.5). Today's highest-confidence pick is Under 3.5 in América-MG vs Cuiabá (84% probability).

5'
Persija Jakarta0
Persik Kediri0
Liga 1
Over 1.579%Under 3.566%Over 2.557%
5'
Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia FC0
PSM Makassar0
Liga 1
Over 1.579%Under 3.566%Over 2.557%
5'
Persebaya Surabaya0
Madura United0
Liga 1
Over 1.578%Under 3.568%Over 2.555%
13:45
Neftchi
Al-Ittihad Club
AFC Champions League
Over 1.573%Under 3.573%Under 2.552%
16:00
Al Ain
Tractor Sport Club
AFC Champions League
Over 1.575%Under 3.572%Over 2.550%
16:00
AL Ahli Saudi
Al-Gharafa SC
AFC Champions League
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%
18:15
Al Qadisiyah
Al-Sadd
AFC Champions League
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%
18:15
Al Nassr FC
Al-Wasl FC
AFC Champions League
Over 1.575%Under 3.572%Over 2.550%
18:15
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Pakhtakor
AFC Champions League
Over 1.573%Under 3.573%Under 2.552%
19:30
Paris Saint-Germain
Olympique Lyon
Ligue 1
Over 1.581%Under 3.563%Over 2.559%
19:30
Andorra
Burgos
LaLiga 2
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.552%
20:00
Sevilla FC
Osasuna
LaLiga
Under 3.575%Over 1.572%Under 2.553%

The highest-confidence over/under goals prediction today is Under 3.5 in América-MG vs Cuiabá (Brasileiro Serie B), with a 84% probability according to the model.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted pick is Under 3.5, appearing as the top selection in 6 fixtures.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific metrics sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly.

Frequently Asked Questions

Over 2.5 goals means 3 or more total goals in the match. Under 2.5 means 2 or fewer. The Poisson model calculates this by summing probabilities for all scorelines with 3+ combined goals.

Over/Under 2.5 predictions are among the most accurate football betting markets, with typical model accuracy of 55-65%. The Poisson model performs best on goal-line markets because goal distribution follows a Poisson pattern.

The model uses each team's expected goals (xG) to build a Poisson probability table. It sums the probabilities of all scorelines where total goals exceed (Over) or stay below (Under) the specified line.

Today, the highest-probability Over/Under pick is Under 3.5 in América-MG vs Cuiabá (Brasileiro Serie B), with a 84% chance.

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