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Under / Over Goals · best goal line per match

2026-11-18 · 18 fixtures

Live matches first, then by kick-off time.

Over/under goals predictions today cover 18 matches across Brasileiro Serie A, Copa Del Rey, Division 1, Liga 1, Ligue 1. The Poisson model calculates the probability of total goals exceeding or staying under each goal line (1.5, 2.5, 3.5). Today's highest-confidence pick is Over 1.5 in Alcoyano vs RCD Mallorca (85% probability).

16:45
CR Temouchent
JS El Biar
Ligue 1
Under 3.583%Over 1.564%Under 2.563%
16:45
CS Constantine
Ben Aknoun
Ligue 1
Under 3.580%Over 1.567%Under 2.560%
17:45
Real Madrid CF (W)
Inter Milano W
UEFA Champions League Women
Over 1.586%Over 2.567%Under 3.555%
17:45
Häcken W
Manchester City W
UEFA Champions League Women
Over 1.585%Over 2.565%Under 3.557%
20:00
Chelsea W
Paris SG W
UEFA Champions League Women
Over 1.586%Over 2.568%Under 3.554%
20:00
Juventus (W)
Leuven (W)
UEFA Champions League Women
Over 1.584%Over 2.564%Under 3.558%
22:30
Coritiba
Santos
Brasileiro Serie A
Under 3.574%Over 1.573%Under 2.552%
23:00
Remo
Chapecoense
Brasileiro Serie A
Under 3.575%Over 1.572%Under 2.553%
23:30
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Brasileiro Serie A
Over 1.576%Under 3.571%Over 2.551%
23:30
Flamengo
Athletico-PR
Brasileiro Serie A
Over 1.577%Under 3.570%Over 2.553%
14:30
Al Adalh FC
Al-Orobah FC
Division 1
Over 1.576%Under 3.571%Over 2.552%
18:00
Portugalete
Real Unión Club
Copa Del Rey
Over 1.584%Over 2.564%Under 3.559%

The highest-confidence over/under goals prediction today is Over 1.5 in Alcoyano vs RCD Mallorca (Copa Del Rey), with a 85% probability according to the model.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted pick is Over 1.5, appearing as the top selection in 10 fixtures.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific metrics sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly.

Frequently Asked Questions

Over 2.5 goals means 3 or more total goals in the match. Under 2.5 means 2 or fewer. The Poisson model calculates this by summing probabilities for all scorelines with 3+ combined goals.

Over/Under 2.5 predictions are among the most accurate football betting markets, with typical model accuracy of 55-65%. The Poisson model performs best on goal-line markets because goal distribution follows a Poisson pattern.

The model uses each team's expected goals (xG) to build a Poisson probability table. It sums the probabilities of all scorelines where total goals exceed (Over) or stay below (Under) the specified line.

Today, the highest-probability Over/Under pick is Over 1.5 in Alcoyano vs RCD Mallorca (Copa Del Rey), with a 85% chance.

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