Under / Over Goals · best goal line per match

2026-11-20 · 73 fixtures

Live matches first, then by kick-off time.

Over/under goals predictions today cover 73 matches across Bundesliga, First Division A, LaLiga, Ligue 1, MLS. The Poisson model calculates the probability of total goals exceeding or staying under each goal line (1.5, 2.5, 3.5). Today's highest-confidence pick is Over 1.5 in Bayern München vs Cologne (90% probability).

00:30
São Paulo
Fluminense
Brasileiro Serie A
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%
10:30
Mil-Mugan FK
Zira FK
Premier League
Under 3.580%Over 1.567%Under 2.559%
15:00
Sumgayit FK
Sabah FC
Premier League
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%
16:00
ES Sétif
US Biskra
Ligue 1
Under 3.577%Over 1.570%Under 2.556%
16:00
ASO Chlef
Khenchela
Ligue 1
Under 3.583%Under 2.564%Over 1.563%
16:30
Rostov
Samara
Premier League
Under 3.579%Over 1.568%Under 2.558%
17:00
Independiente del Valle
Macará
LigaPro Serie A
Under 3.575%Over 1.572%Under 2.553%
17:30
Bielefeld
Magdeburg
2nd Bundesliga
Over 1.580%Under 3.564%Over 2.558%
17:30
Darmstadt
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2nd Bundesliga
Over 1.579%Under 3.567%Over 2.556%
19:00
MC Oran
Saoura
Ligue 1
Under 3.584%Under 2.565%Over 1.562%
19:30
Bayern München
Cologne
Bundesliga
Over 1.590%Over 2.574%Over 3.553%
19:30
Andorra
CD Leganes
LaLiga 2
Over 1.575%Under 3.571%Over 2.551%

The highest-confidence over/under goals prediction today is Over 1.5 in Bayern München vs Cologne (Bundesliga), with a 90% probability according to the model.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted pick is Over 1.5, appearing as the top selection in 11 fixtures.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific metrics sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly.

Frequently Asked Questions

Over 2.5 goals means 3 or more total goals in the match. Under 2.5 means 2 or fewer. The Poisson model calculates this by summing probabilities for all scorelines with 3+ combined goals.

Over/Under 2.5 predictions are among the most accurate football betting markets, with typical model accuracy of 55-65%. The Poisson model performs best on goal-line markets because goal distribution follows a Poisson pattern.

The model uses each team's expected goals (xG) to build a Poisson probability table. It sums the probabilities of all scorelines where total goals exceed (Over) or stay below (Under) the specified line.

Today, the highest-probability Over/Under pick is Over 1.5 in Bayern München vs Cologne (Bundesliga), with a 90% chance.

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