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Under / Over Goals · best goal line per match

2026-11-19 · 25 fixtures

Live matches first, then by kick-off time.

Over/under goals predictions today cover 25 matches across Brasileiro Serie A, 1st Division, Arabian Gulf League, Ligue 1, Slovakia Cup. The Poisson model calculates the probability of total goals exceeding or staying under each goal line (1.5, 2.5, 3.5). Today's highest-confidence pick is Under 3.5 in US Biskra vs Khenchela (86% probability).

00:00
US Biskra
Khenchela
Ligue 1
Under 3.586%Under 2.568%Over 1.559%
00:00
ES Sétif
JS El Biar
Ligue 1
Under 3.577%Over 1.570%Under 2.556%
00:00
ASO Chlef
Olympique Akbou
Ligue 1
Under 3.584%Under 2.565%Over 1.562%
00:00
CR Temouchent
USM Alger
Ligue 1
Under 3.583%Under 2.564%Over 1.563%
00:00
MC Alger
Saoura
Ligue 1
Under 3.583%Over 1.564%Under 2.563%
00:00
JS Kabylie
Ben Aknoun
Ligue 1
Under 3.578%Over 1.569%Under 2.557%
00:00
MC Oran
Belouizdad
Ligue 1
Under 3.583%Under 2.564%Over 1.563%
00:00
MB Rouisset
CS Constantine
Ligue 1
Under 3.583%Under 2.564%Over 1.563%
00:30
Grêmio
Bahia
Brasileiro Serie A
Over 1.575%Under 3.572%Over 2.550%
00:30
Corinthians
Botafogo-RJ
Brasileiro Serie A
Under 3.575%Over 1.572%Under 2.554%
16:45
MC Alger
Olympique Akbou
Ligue 1
Under 3.582%Over 1.564%Under 2.563%
16:45
MB Rouisset
Belouizdad
Ligue 1
Under 3.583%Under 2.564%Over 1.563%

The highest-confidence over/under goals prediction today is Under 3.5 in US Biskra vs Khenchela (Ligue 1), with a 86% probability according to the model.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted pick is Under 3.5, appearing as the top selection in 7 fixtures.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific metrics sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly.

Frequently Asked Questions

Over 2.5 goals means 3 or more total goals in the match. Under 2.5 means 2 or fewer. The Poisson model calculates this by summing probabilities for all scorelines with 3+ combined goals.

Over/Under 2.5 predictions are among the most accurate football betting markets, with typical model accuracy of 55-65%. The Poisson model performs best on goal-line markets because goal distribution follows a Poisson pattern.

The model uses each team's expected goals (xG) to build a Poisson probability table. It sums the probabilities of all scorelines where total goals exceed (Over) or stay below (Under) the specified line.

Today, the highest-probability Over/Under pick is Under 3.5 in US Biskra vs Khenchela (Ligue 1), with a 86% chance.

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