Under / Over Goals · best goal line per match

2026-11-16 · 20 fixtures

Live matches first, then by kick-off time.

Over/under goals predictions today cover 20 matches across UEFA Nations League, Elite League U20, Friendly International, LaLiga 2, Liga 1. The Poisson model calculates the probability of total goals exceeding or staying under each goal line (1.5, 2.5, 3.5). Today's highest-confidence pick is Over 1.5 in Czech Republic U20 vs Germany U20 (82% probability).

19:30
Albacete
Celta de Vigo II
LaLiga 2
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%
14:00
Czech Republic U20
Germany U20
Elite League U20
Over 1.582%Under 3.562%Over 2.561%
14:00
Italy U20
Switzerland U20
Elite League U20
Over 1.581%Under 3.564%Over 2.558%
15:00
Faroe Islands
Moldova
UEFA Nations League
Under 3.576%Over 1.571%Under 2.555%
15:00
Kazakhstan
Slovakia
UEFA Nations League
Under 3.575%Over 1.572%Under 2.553%
16:00
Portugal U20
England U20
Elite League U20
Over 1.582%Under 3.562%Over 2.560%
17:00
Estonia
Bulgaria
UEFA Nations League
Under 3.577%Over 1.570%Under 2.556%
17:00
Lithuania
Liechtenstein
UEFA Nations League
Under 3.576%Over 1.571%Under 2.554%
17:00
Iceland
Luxembourg
UEFA Nations League
Under 3.574%Over 1.573%Under 2.553%
17:00
Greece U21
Iceland U21
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification
Over 1.583%Over 2.562%Under 3.560%
18:00
Andorra
Azerbaijan
Friendly International
Over 1.576%Under 3.570%Over 2.552%
18:00
UTC Cajamarca
Los Chankas
Liga 1
Under 3.576%Over 1.571%Under 2.555%

The highest-confidence over/under goals prediction today is Over 1.5 in Czech Republic U20 vs Germany U20 (Elite League U20), with a 82% probability according to the model.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted pick is Under 3.5, appearing as the top selection in 9 fixtures.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific metrics sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly.

Frequently Asked Questions

Over 2.5 goals means 3 or more total goals in the match. Under 2.5 means 2 or fewer. The Poisson model calculates this by summing probabilities for all scorelines with 3+ combined goals.

Over/Under 2.5 predictions are among the most accurate football betting markets, with typical model accuracy of 55-65%. The Poisson model performs best on goal-line markets because goal distribution follows a Poisson pattern.

The model uses each team's expected goals (xG) to build a Poisson probability table. It sums the probabilities of all scorelines where total goals exceed (Over) or stay below (Under) the specified line.

Today, the highest-probability Over/Under pick is Over 1.5 in Czech Republic U20 vs Germany U20 (Elite League U20), with a 82% chance.

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