精确比分预测 · 前3个比分

2026-10-28 · 143 场比赛

直播比赛优先,然后按开球时间排列。

Correct score predictions today cover 143 matches across Serie A, Major League Soccer, Brasileiro Serie A, Premiership, Primera Division. The Poisson model analyses xG data for each fixture to calculate the probability of every possible scoreline — today's highest-confidence pick is 1-1 in 帕尔马 vs 乌迪内斯 (undefined% probability).

31'
Zamalek0
阿拉伯建筑0
Premier League
1 – 015.1%1 – 112.8%0 – 011.4%
3'
AC Milan0
博洛尼亚0
Serie A
1 – 112.2%1 – 010.5%2 – 19.1%
3'
Venezia0
Inter Milan0
Serie A
0 – 112.8%1 – 111.8%0 – 210.3%
3'
帕尔马0
乌迪内斯0
Serie A
1 – 112.9%0 – 111.6%1 – 09.9%
75'
Benfica U194
Pafos U190
UEFA Youth League
2 – 19%1 – 17.7%3 – 17.1%
73'
Al-Nahda1
Al Rayyan3
AFC Cup
1 – 111.9%1 – 010.7%2 – 19.4%
72'
Al Jazira (UAE)4
Al Muharraq2
AFC Cup
1 – 111.7%1 – 010.7%2 – 19.6%
73'
ADT2
UCV Moquegua0
Primera Division
1 – 012.5%1 – 112.1%2 – 09.7%
74'
AC奥卢0
瓦萨0
Veikkausliiga
1 – 112.7%1 – 012.5%0 – 19.1%
29'
Flora U191
Chelsea U191
UEFA Youth League
1 – 18.8%2 – 18.6%1 – 27.2%
32'
Stabæk U193
Cardiff MU U190
UEFA Youth League
2 – 19%1 – 18.7%2 – 26.8%
31'
HJK U192
Žilina U190
UEFA Youth League
2 – 19.2%1 – 18.2%3 – 16.9%

The highest-confidence correct score prediction today is 1-1 in 帕尔马 vs 乌迪内斯 (Serie A), with a undefined% probability according to the model. This means the Poisson distribution assigns a undefined% chance to this exact scoreline occurring — the strongest single-scoreline signal on today's slate. While no scoreline prediction is ever certain, this match stands out because the model's xG inputs converge clearly on one result.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted scoreline is 1-1, appearing as the top pick in 9 fixtures. This aligns with historical football data showing that 1-1 is among the most common final scores in the sport. The Poisson model naturally favours lower-scoring outcomes because football is a low-scoring game where results like 1-0, 1-1, 2-1, and 0-0 dominate the probability distribution for most matches.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific xG metrics — attack power, defensive strength, and overall goal expectation — sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly on our accuracy page.

常见问题

精确比分预测预测足球比赛的确切最终比分。我们的模型使用基于每支球队预期进球数(xG)的泊松分布,计算每个可能比分(0-0到5-5)的概率。

精确比分预测本质上概率较低——即使最可能的比分也很少超过12-15%的概率。我们的模型在大约25-30%的比赛中正确识别了前3个最可能的比分。

历史上,1-1是最常见的精确比分,其次是1-0、2-1和0-0。泊松模型反映了这一点,因为足球是低比分运动。

今天最可能的精确比分预测是1-1(帕尔马 vs 乌迪内斯,Serie A),根据模型有12.9%的概率。

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