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Under / Over Goals · best goal line per match

2026-10-22 · 59 fixtures

Live matches first, then by kick-off time.

Over/under goals predictions today cover 59 matches across Europa Conference League, Europa League, Copa Libertadores, Liga 1, Liga MX. The Poisson model calculates the probability of total goals exceeding or staying under each goal line (1.5, 2.5, 3.5). Today's highest-confidence pick is Over 1.5 in Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen (81% probability).

00:00
USM Alger
MC Oran
Ligue 1
Under 3.581%Over 1.566%Under 2.561%
16:00
Sitra
Al-Rifaa
Premier League
Under 3.578%Over 1.569%Under 2.557%
16:00
Al- Najma
Aali
Premier League
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%
16:45
GNK Dinamo
NEC Nijmegen
Europa League
Over 1.579%Under 3.566%Over 2.556%
16:45
Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC
Europa League
Over 1.575%Under 3.571%Over 2.551%
16:45
Lech Poznan
Sunderland
Europa League
Over 1.581%Under 3.564%Over 2.559%
16:45
SK Sturm Graz
Marseille
Europa League
Over 1.573%Under 3.573%Under 2.552%
16:45
Juventus
Rennes
Europa League
Over 1.579%Under 3.566%Over 2.556%
16:45
Ararat-Armenia
AZ Alkmaar
Europa League
Under 3.575%Over 1.572%Under 2.553%
16:45
Ferencvaros TC
Torreense
Europa League
Over 1.574%Under 3.572%Under 2.551%
16:45
OFI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Europa League
Over 1.575%Under 3.571%Over 2.551%
19:00
FC Viktoria Plzen
PFC Levski Sofia
Europa League
Over 1.578%Under 3.567%Over 2.555%

The highest-confidence over/under goals prediction today is Over 1.5 in Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen (Europa Conference League), with a 81% probability according to the model.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted pick is Over 1.5, appearing as the top selection in 8 fixtures.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific metrics sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly.

Frequently Asked Questions

Over 2.5 goals means 3 or more total goals in the match. Under 2.5 means 2 or fewer. The Poisson model calculates this by summing probabilities for all scorelines with 3+ combined goals.

Over/Under 2.5 predictions are among the most accurate football betting markets, with typical model accuracy of 55-65%. The Poisson model performs best on goal-line markets because goal distribution follows a Poisson pattern.

The model uses each team's expected goals (xG) to build a Poisson probability table. It sums the probabilities of all scorelines where total goals exceed (Over) or stay below (Under) the specified line.

Today, the highest-probability Over/Under pick is Over 1.5 in Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen (Europa Conference League), with a 81% chance.

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