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Football predictions Under / Over goals

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Time
FT
Match
U
O
U1.5
O1.5
U
O
U2.5
O2.5
U
O
U3.5
O3.5
Argentina - Superliga
00:15
0
2
Belgrano (14)2
Independiente Rivadavia (22)4
00:15
50
50
1.45
2.50
77
23
1.45
2.50
91
9
1.13
4.90
00:15
0
1
Argentinos Juniors (24)41
Barracas Central (28)3
00:15
45
55
1.67
2.10
72
28
1.67
2.10
89
11
1.20
3.90
Uruguay - Primera Division: Apertura
12:45
1
0
River Plate (9)4
Cerro (14)2
12:45
32
68
1.62
2.23
59
41
1.62
2.23
79
21
1.16
3.88
Belarus - Vysshaya Liga
16:00
1
0
Torpedo BelAZ (3)
Shakhter (16)2
16:00
32
68
1.80
1.90
59
41
1.80
1.90
79
21
1.32
3.10
Europe - Champions League
17:45
2
3
Slovan Bratislava (36)31
Milan (20)3
17:45
8
92
2.90
1.41
21
79
2.90
1.41
40
60
1.89
2.04
17:45
0
6
Sparta Praha (26)1
Atletico Madrid (23)1
17:45
13
87
1.88
1.91
30
70
1.88
1.91
52
48
1.35
3.10
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
19:00
0
0
Jong Utrecht (19)2
Excelsior (1)3
19:00
15
85
2.50
1.45
35
65
2.50
1.45
57
43
1.57
2.25
19:00
3
0
Roda JC Kerkrade (9)2
Vitesse (20)41
19:00
23
77
2.30
1.55
46
54
2.30
1.55
68
32
1.55
2.25
19:00
1
2
SC Cambuur (8)3
FC Den Bosch (7)2
19:00
32
68
2.30
1.55
59
41
2.30
1.55
79
21
1.62
2.20
Spain - La Liga 2
19:30
4
0
Almeria (8)
Cordoba (19)
19:30
29
71
2.29
1.63
54
46
2.29
1.63
76
24
1.41
2.48
Uruguay - Primera Division: Apertura
19:30
0
1
Rampla Juniors (10)3
Liverpool M (13)1
19:30
45
55
1.73
2.09
72
28
1.73
2.09
89
11
1.26
3.65
England - Championship
19:45
2
0
Burnley (4)
Coventry (17)1
19:45
41
59
1.57
2.25
68
32
1.57
2.25
86
14
1.20
3.90
19:45
0
2
Hull (22)1
Sheffield (15)2
19:45
41
59
1.73
2.00
68
32
1.73
2.00
86
14
1.25
3.50
19:45
6
1
Norwich (13)
Plymouth (19)1
19:45
32
68
2.25
1.57
59
41
2.25
1.57
79
21
1.55
2.30
19:45
3
0
Sheffield United (3)1
Oxford United (18)1
19:45
36
64
1.90
2.00
63
37
1.90
2.00
83
17
1.28
3.30
19:45
0
0
Stoke City (12)1
Preston (20)21
19:45
15
85
1.84
2.06
35
65
1.84
2.06
57
43
1.25
3.50
19:45
1
0
Watford (7)2
Bristol City (10)2
19:45
18
82
1.80
1.91
39
61
1.80
1.91
61
39
1.27
3.40
England - League One
19:45
1
1
Cambridge United (22)21
Bolton Wanderers (9)5
19:45
20
80
1.91
1.80
42
58
1.91
1.80
65
35
1.28
3.30
19:45
0
2
Exeter (11)4
Birmingham (4)2
19:45
25
75
2.00
1.73
50
50
2.00
1.73
72
28
1.42
2.60
19:45
1
0
Wycombe (1)1
Mansfield Town (10)1
19:45
12
88
2.00
1.73
29
71
2.00
1.73
50
50
1.47
2.45

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Predictions for over-under or over/under is based on expected total goals scored by both teams. Most popular betting line is 2.5, when punter bet on under 2.5 or over 2.5 goals.

Our predictions here are based on Poasson distribution on expected goals. So for under 2.5 goals we test all correct socre 0-0 1-0 2-0 1-1 0-1 and 0-2 and result is percent estimation for under 2.5. For over 2.5 we subtract 100-(under 2.5 %). Soccer predictions for other lines are based on same method.

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