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Football predictions Under / Over goals

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Time
FT
Match
U
O
U1.5
O1.5
U
O
U2.5
O2.5
U
O
U3.5
O3.5
Brazil - Serie A
00:00
1
1
Cruzeiro (7)2
Gremio (15)1
00:00
41
59
1.64
2.25
68
32
1.64
2.25
86
14
1.21
4.35
Uruguay - Primera Division: Apertura
00:15
0
0
Danubio (4)1
Nacional (2)4
00:15
14
86
1.66
2.14
32
68
1.66
2.14
54
46
1.17
3.82
Mexico - Liga MX
01:00
2
0
America
Toluca 1
01:00
15
85
2.05
1.67
35
65
2.05
1.67
57
43
1.42
2.65
03:10
3
0
Tijuana
Cruz Azul 1
03:10
10
90
1.75
1.93
26
74
1.75
1.93
47
53
1.30
3.20
Saudi Arabia - Pro League
14:45
0
1
Al Feiha (17)11
Al Orubah (13)2
14:45
36
64
1.70
2.05
63
37
1.70
2.05
83
17
1.23
3.28
15:05
1
2
Al Akhdoud (14)2
Al Kholood (16)3
15:05
45
55
1.80
1.91
72
28
1.80
1.91
89
11
1.27
3.02
Belarus - Vysshaya Liga
15:15
7
4
BATE (9)1
Smorgon (12)2
15:15
41
59
1.88
1.96
68
32
1.88
1.96
86
14
1.21
3.50
Saudi Arabia - Pro League
17:00
1
2
Al Fateh (18)3
Al Riyadh (9)3
17:00
23
77
1.85
1.85
46
54
1.85
1.85
68
32
1.27
3.02
Europe - Europa League
17:45
3
0
Athletic Bilbao (6)1
Elfsborg (24)1
17:45
12
88
2.30
1.60
29
71
2.30
1.60
50
50
1.65
2.20
17:45
1
1
AZ (17)41
Galatasaray (3)4
17:45
6
94
2.38
1.57
17
83
2.38
1.57
34
66
1.67
2.20
17:45
1
3
Besiktas (18)3
Maccabi Tel Aviv (35)2
17:45
5
95
2.20
1.65
16
84
2.20
1.65
31
69
1.50
2.60
17:45
1
2
Dynamo Kyiv (36)1
Viktoria Plzen (16)2
17:45
34
66
1.60
2.30
61
39
1.60
2.30
81
19
1.29
3.55
17:45
0
0
Lazio (1)6
Ludogorets (34)2
17:45
12
88
2.20
1.67
29
71
2.20
1.67
50
50
1.60
2.30
17:45
1
4
Qarabag (29)
Olympique Lyonnais (9)2
17:45
7
93
2.38
1.57
20
80
2.38
1.57
39
61
1.60
2.30
17:45
0
2
Rigas FS (32)
PAOK (33)1
17:45
9
91
2.00
1.78
24
76
2.00
1.78
43
57
1.36
3.15
17:45
2
2
Anderlecht (5)1
Porto (22)2
17:45
18
82
2.05
1.75
39
61
2.05
1.75
61
39
1.37
3.05
20:00
1
2
Midtjylland (14)1
Eintracht Frankfurt (7)
20:00
9
91
2.30
1.62
24
76
2.30
1.62
43
57
1.48
2.65
20:00
0
1
FC Twente (28)2
Union Saint-Gilloise (32)4
20:00
80
20
1.65
2.20
95
5
1.65
2.20
99
1
1.23
4.20
20:00
0
0
FCSB (10)61
Olympiakos Piraeus (12)1
20:00
25
75
1.83
1.95
50
50
1.83
1.95
72
28
1.29
3.55
20:00
4
1
Ferencvaros (16)1
Malmo FF (29)2
20:00
36
64
2.00
1.78
63
37
2.00
1.78
83
17
1.36
3.10

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Predictions for over-under or over/under is based on expected total goals scored by both teams. Most popular betting line is 2.5, when punter bet on under 2.5 or over 2.5 goals.

Our predictions here are based on Poasson distribution on expected goals. So for under 2.5 goals we test all correct socre 0-0 1-0 2-0 1-1 0-1 and 0-2 and result is percent estimation for under 2.5. For over 2.5 we subtract 100-(under 2.5 %). Soccer predictions for other lines are based on same method.

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