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Football predictions Under / Over goals

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Time
FT
Match
U
O
U1.5
O1.5
U
O
U2.5
O2.5
U
O
U3.5
O3.5
Argentina - Superliga
00:00
2
4
Newell (26)2
Huracan (2)1
00:00
56
44
1.33
3.00
81
19
1.33
3.00
93
7
1.09
5.80
00:00
3
0
Independiente (13)1
Union Santa Fe (3)21
00:00
41
59
1.37
2.85
68
32
1.37
2.85
86
14
1.11
5.30
Brazil - Serie B
00:00
0
1
Brusque (19)4
Botafogo SP (16)1
00:00
50
50
1.42
2.65
77
23
1.42
2.65
91
9
1.12
5.40
Brazil - Serie A
00:30
2
0
Internacional (5)1
Criciuma (15)21
00:30
29
71
1.98
1.92
54
46
1.98
1.92
76
24
1.32
3.45
00:30
0
3
Bahia (7)3
Sao Paulo (6)2
00:30
50
50
1.60
2.33
77
23
1.60
2.33
91
9
1.19
4.70
00:30
3
0
Botafogo (1)
Vasco da Gama (9)31
00:30
32
68
2.03
1.85
59
41
2.03
1.85
79
21
1.26
3.14
Brazil - Serie B
00:30
4
1
Mirassol (4)1
Coritiba (10)1
00:30
32
68
1.55
2.32
59
41
1.55
2.32
79
21
1.14
5.00
Mexico - Liga MX
01:00
0
0
Leon (11)1
Mazatlán (15)2
01:00
53
47
2.10
1.65
79
21
2.10
1.65
92
8
1.45
2.55
01:00
0
2
Santos Laguna (17)3
Guadalajara (9)2
01:00
45
55
2.18
1.62
72
28
2.18
1.62
89
11
1.42
2.60
03:05
2
0
Pumas UNAM (6)1
Queretaro (18)31
03:05
36
64
2.05
1.85
63
37
2.05
1.85
83
17
1.40
2.70
Europe - Europa League
15:30
2
1
Besiktas (27)3
Malmo FF (25)2
15:30
4
96
2.28
1.64
12
88
2.28
1.64
27
73
1.48
2.60
Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier Liga
17:00
1
1
Zrinjski (1)
Sarajevo (2)
17:00
4
96
12
88
27
73
Europe - Champions League
17:45
1
0
Club Brugge (27)2
Aston Villa (5)4
17:45
16
84
2.05
1.88
37
63
2.05
1.88
59
41
1.36
3.15
17:45
2
1
Shakhtar Donetsk (29)1
Young Boys (35)3
17:45
67
33
2.19
1.77
89
11
2.19
1.77
97
3
1.41
2.90
Argentina - Superliga
19:00
0
2
Barracas Central (28)2
Racing Club (6)
19:00
80
20
1.61
2.32
95
5
1.61
2.32
99
1
1.20
3.90
England - Championship
19:45
1
0
Millwall (8)2
Leeds (3)1
19:45
23
77
1.57
2.25
46
54
1.57
2.25
68
32
1.20
4.00
19:45
0
2
Blackburn (9)1
Stoke City (17)2
19:45
36
64
1.91
1.80
63
37
1.91
1.80
83
17
1.33
3.00
19:45
1
2
Coventry (15)
Derby County (16)2
19:45
25
75
1.91
1.80
50
50
1.91
1.80
72
28
1.33
3.00
Argentina - Superliga
20:00
1
1
Banfield (25)2
Belgrano (15)1
20:00
32
68
1.46
2.70
59
41
1.46
2.70
79
21
1.16
4.40
England - Championship
20:00
1
0
Luton (22)2
Cardiff City (19)1
20:00
36
64
1.95
1.75
63
37
1.95
1.75
83
17
1.36
2.88

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Predictions for over-under or over/under is based on expected total goals scored by both teams. Most popular betting line is 2.5, when punter bet on under 2.5 or over 2.5 goals.

Our predictions here are based on Poasson distribution on expected goals. So for under 2.5 goals we test all correct socre 0-0 1-0 2-0 1-1 0-1 and 0-2 and result is percent estimation for under 2.5. For over 2.5 we subtract 100-(under 2.5 %). Soccer predictions for other lines are based on same method.

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