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Football predictions Under / Over goals

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Time
FT
Match
U
O
U1.5
O1.5
U
O
U2.5
O2.5
U
O
U3.5
O3.5
Uruguay - Primera Division: Apertura
00:30
3
0
Defensor Sporting (7)4
Progreso (15)4
00:30
36
64
1.58
2.25
63
37
1.58
2.25
83
17
1.30
3.20
World - WC Qualification Oceania
03:00
2
3
Solomon Islands (3)
New Caledonia (1)
03:00
53
47
1.50
2.41
79
21
1.50
2.41
92
8
1.16
4.75
06:00
3
3
Papua New Guinea (4)2
Fiji (2)
06:00
45
55
1.95
1.77
72
28
1.95
1.77
89
11
1.33
3.10
World - WC Qualification Asia
09:10
0
0
Australia (2)2
Saudi Arabia (3)2
09:10
3
97
1.55
2.35
9
91
1.55
2.35
21
79
1.25
3.75
12:00
2
3
Korea DPR (6)2
Iran (1)11
12:00
10
90
1.82
1.98
25
75
1.82
1.98
45
55
1.27
3.08
Uruguay - Primera Division: Apertura
12:45
0
0
Danubio (3)1
Cerro (14)3
12:45
32
68
1.54
2.37
59
41
1.54
2.37
79
21
1.16
5.00
International - Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
13:00
1
0
Lesotho (4)
Central African Republic (3)1
13:00
91
9
1.43
2.71
99
1
1.43
2.71
100
0
1.16
4.90
13:00
0
0
Equatorial Guinea (2)1
Algeria (1)3
13:00
14
86
1.54
2.38
32
68
1.54
2.38
54
46
1.19
4.30
13:00
3
2
South Sudan (4)1
Congo (3)11
13:00
64
36
1.52
2.42
87
13
1.52
2.42
96
4
1.16
4.80
World - WC Qualification Asia
14:00
1
3
Kuwait (5)2
Korea Republic (1)1
14:00
8
92
2.40
1.54
22
78
2.40
1.54
41
59
1.52
2.45
14:00
0
1
Bahrain (4)11
China (6)2
14:00
41
59
1.57
2.30
68
32
1.57
2.30
86
14
1.28
3.50
Europe - UEFA Nations League
15:00
0
2
Kazakhstan (4)11
Austria (2)
15:00
41
59
2.35
1.57
68
32
2.35
1.57
86
14
1.55
2.30
International - Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
15:00
0
0
Burundi (3)1
Malawi (4)4
15:00
83
17
1.55
2.25
96
4
1.55
2.25
99
1
1.15
4.60
World - WC Qualification Asia
16:00
1
0
Oman (4)1
Palestine (6)
16:00
41
59
1.62
2.20
68
32
1.62
2.20
86
14
1.20
4.20
International - Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
16:00
2
3
Madagascar (4)2
Tunisia (1)11
16:00
29
71
1.50
2.40
54
46
1.50
2.40
76
24
1.17
4.50
16:00
0
1
Rwanda (3)1
Libya (4)4
16:00
56
44
1.48
2.50
81
19
1.48
2.50
93
7
1.16
5.00
16:00
4
0
Niger (4)1
Sudan (2)
16:00
74
26
1.37
2.80
92
8
1.37
2.80
98
2
1.09
5.80
World - WC Qualification Asia
16:15
3
0
UAE (3)1
Kyrgyzstan (5)
16:15
27
73
1.72
2.05
52
48
1.72
2.05
74
26
1.25
3.75
16:15
3
2
Qatar (4)2
Uzbekistan (2)1
16:15
5
95
1.52
2.45
14
86
1.52
2.45
29
71
1.18
4.50
16:15
0
0
Iraq (3)2
Jordan (2)2
16:15
7
93
1.57
2.30
20
80
1.57
2.30
39
61
1.20
4.50

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Predictions for over-under or over/under is based on expected total goals scored by both teams. Most popular betting line is 2.5, when punter bet on under 2.5 or over 2.5 goals.

Our predictions here are based on Poasson distribution on expected goals. So for under 2.5 goals we test all correct socre 0-0 1-0 2-0 1-1 0-1 and 0-2 and result is percent estimation for under 2.5. For over 2.5 we subtract 100-(under 2.5 %). Soccer predictions for other lines are based on same method.

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