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Football predictions Under / Over goals

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Time
FT
Match
U
O
U1.5
O1.5
U
O
U2.5
O2.5
U
O
U3.5
O3.5
Mexico - Liga Ascenso
01:05
4
0
Tapatío (2)1
Dorados (18)2
01:05
32
68
1.70
2.08
59
41
1.70
2.08
79
21
1.24
4.03
03:05
2
1
Atlante (8)4
Correcaminos UAT (11)3
03:05
32
68
1.67
2.14
59
41
1.67
2.14
79
21
1.23
4.23
Australia - A-League
05:00
0
3
Western United (9)2
CC Mariners (3)1
05:00
32
68
2.35
1.57
59
41
2.35
1.57
79
21
1.62
2.30
07:00
1
1
Adelaide United (2)1
Sydney (6)
07:00
9
91
2.40
1.57
24
76
2.40
1.57
43
57
1.63
2.28
Portugal - Segunda Liga
10:00
0
3
Nacional (15)21
Oliveirense (12)5
10:00
25
75
1.84
1.91
50
50
1.84
1.91
72
28
1.33
3.45
England - Championship
11:30
0
0
Millwall (5)1
Luton (4)2
11:30
25
75
1.46
2.75
50
50
1.46
2.75
72
28
1.12
5.25
12:00
3
1
Rotherham (19)2
West Bromwich (9)4
12:00
23
77
1.63
2.28
46
54
1.63
2.28
68
32
1.26
4.13
Portugal - Segunda Liga
13:00
3
1
Farense (3)2
Moreirense (1)41
13:00
14
86
1.78
1.98
32
68
1.78
1.98
54
46
1.27
3.65
Sweden - Superettan
13:00
3
0
GAIS (9)1
Brage (12)3
13:00
23
77
1.92
1.98
46
54
1.92
1.98
68
32
1.41
3.06
Wales - Premier League
13:30
1
2
Bala Town (5)1
Newtown (6)1
13:30
50
50
2.02
1.73
77
23
2.02
1.73
91
9
1.40
2.70
13:30
2
0
Haverfordwest County 1
Pontypridd Town AFC 2
13:30
23
77
1.81
1.92
46
54
1.81
1.92
68
32
1.30
3.20
Croatia - 1. HNL
14:00
1
1
Slaven Belupo (5)2
Varazdin (4)1
14:00
41
59
1.58
2.28
68
32
1.58
2.28
86
14
1.25
3.75
England - League One
14:00
3
0
Accrington (21)1
Port Vale (17)11
14:00
50
50
1.64
2.20
77
23
1.64
2.20
91
9
1.25
3.50
14:00
1
0
Bristol Rovers (15)
Charlton (12)
14:00
61
39
1.98
1.78
85
15
1.98
1.78
95
5
1.37
2.80
14:00
2
1
Burton Albion (18)6
Barnsley (4)2
14:00
23
77
1.91
1.85
46
54
1.91
1.85
68
32
1.30
3.20
14:00
2
1
Cambridge United (23)3
Fleetwood (13)4
14:00
56
44
1.62
2.23
81
19
1.62
2.23
93
7
1.20
3.90
14:00
0
1
Exeter (11)
Bolton Wanderers (5)3
14:00
12
88
1.68
2.10
29
71
1.68
2.10
50
50
1.28
3.30
14:00
0
2
Forest Green (24)1
Derby County (7)1
14:00
36
64
1.81
2.07
63
37
1.81
2.07
83
17
1.30
3.20
14:00
4
0
Ipswich (3)
Wycombe (8)2
14:00
5
95
2.00
1.76
16
84
2.00
1.76
31
69
1.42
2.60
14:00
2
0
Lincoln (14)
Cheltenham (16)1
14:00
50
50
1.52
2.43
77
23
1.52
2.43
91
9
1.17
4.30

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Predictions for over-under or over/under is based on expected total goals scored by both teams. Most popular betting line is 2.5, when punter bet on under 2.5 or over 2.5 goals.

Our predictions here are based on Poasson distribution on expected goals. So for under 2.5 goals we test all correct socre 0-0 1-0 2-0 1-1 0-1 and 0-2 and result is percent estimation for under 2.5. For over 2.5 we subtract 100-(under 2.5 %). Soccer predictions for other lines are based on same method.

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