大小球 · 每场最佳进球线

2026-11-14 · 150 场比赛

直播比赛优先,然后按开球时间排列。

Over/under goals predictions today cover 150 matches across Brasileiro Serie B, UEFA Nations League, Championship, Coupe de France, Eerste Divisie. The Poisson model calculates the probability of total goals exceeding or staying under each goal line (1.5, 2.5, 3.5). Today's highest-confidence pick is Under 3.5 in SC克里西乌马 vs 新奥里藏蒂诺 (81% probability).

FT
巴拉多利德0
Castellón1
LaLiga 2
Over 1.573%Under 3.573%Under 2.552%
FT
皇家社会B2
希洪竞技2
LaLiga 2
Under 3.576%Over 1.571%Under 2.554%
FT
皇家马略卡3
Córdoba3
LaLiga 2
Over 1.576%Under 3.570%Over 2.552%
FT
阿尔梅里亚2
安道尔1
LaLiga 2
Over 1.580%Under 3.565%Over 2.557%
FT
Ecuador2
Costa Rica0
Friendly International
Over 1.577%Under 3.569%Over 2.553%
FT
Colombia1
Chile0
Friendly International
Over 1.576%Under 3.570%Over 2.552%
FT
Peru2
Bolivia0
Friendly International
Over 1.576%Under 3.570%Over 2.552%
FT
Oita Trinita1
Tochigi City6
J2-League
Under 3.574%Over 1.573%Under 2.552%
FT
Fujieda MYFC1
Ventforet Kofu0
J2-League
Under 3.580%Over 1.567%Under 2.560%
FT
Albirex Niigata1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki3
J2-League
Under 3.574%Over 1.573%Under 2.552%
FT
Shonan Bellmare2
Yokohama0
J2-League
Under 3.578%Over 1.569%Under 2.557%
FT
Omiya Ardija2
Montedio Yamagata1
J2-League
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%

The highest-confidence over/under goals prediction today is Under 3.5 in SC克里西乌马 vs 新奥里藏蒂诺 (Brasileiro Serie B), with a 81% probability according to the model.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted pick is Under 3.5, appearing as the top selection in 12 fixtures.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific metrics sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly.

常见问题

大2.5球意味着比赛总进球3个或以上。小2.5球意味着2个或以下。泊松模型通过汇总所有总进球3+的比分概率来计算。

大小球2.5预测是最准确的足球投注市场之一,模型准确率通常为55-65%。泊松模型在进球线市场上表现最佳,因为进球分布遵循泊松模式。

模型使用每队的预期进球数(xG)构建泊松概率表。它汇总所有总进球超过(大)或低于(小)指定线的比分概率。

今天最可能的大小球推荐是Under 3.5(SC克里西乌马 vs 新奥里藏蒂诺,Brasileiro Serie B),概率为81%。

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