大小球 · 每场最佳进球线

2026-11-15 · 72 场比赛

直播比赛优先,然后按开球时间排列。

Over/under goals predictions today cover 72 matches across UEFA Nations League, Coupe de France, Eerste Divisie, Friendly International, J2-League. The Poisson model calculates the probability of total goals exceeding or staying under each goal line (1.5, 2.5, 3.5). Today's highest-confidence pick is Over 1.5 in Tefana vs Thionville Lusitanos (83% probability).

67'
格拉纳达1
拉斯帕尔马斯0
LaLiga 2
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%
79'
圣地牙哥漫游者0
科皮亚波竞技1
Primera B
Over 1.577%Under 3.569%Over 2.553%
53'
佩纳菲尔1
路西塔尼亚0
Segunda Liga
Under 3.576%Over 1.571%Under 2.555%
FT
Tenerife2
AD Ceuta0
LaLiga 2
Under 3.574%Over 1.573%Under 2.552%
17:30
Eldense
Sabadell
LaLiga 2
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%
17:30
埃瓦尔
Cádiz
LaLiga 2
Over 1.576%Under 3.570%Over 2.552%
FT
New Zealand3
India0
Friendly International
Over 1.578%Under 3.567%Over 2.555%
FT
Tefana0
Thionville Lusitanos4
Coupe de France
Over 1.583%Over 2.563%Under 3.559%
FT
Vanraure Hachinohe2
Iwaki2
J2-League
Under 3.581%Over 1.566%Under 2.561%
FT
Consadole Sapporo1
Sagan Tosu2
J2-League
Under 3.575%Over 1.572%Under 2.554%
FT
Vegalta Sendai4
Blaublitz Akita0
J2-League
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%
FT
Imabari0
Júbilo Iwata2
J2-League
Under 3.576%Over 1.571%Under 2.555%

The highest-confidence over/under goals prediction today is Over 1.5 in Tefana vs Thionville Lusitanos (Coupe de France), with a 83% probability according to the model.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted pick is Over 1.5, appearing as the top selection in 7 fixtures.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific metrics sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly.

常见问题

大2.5球意味着比赛总进球3个或以上。小2.5球意味着2个或以下。泊松模型通过汇总所有总进球3+的比分概率来计算。

大小球2.5预测是最准确的足球投注市场之一,模型准确率通常为55-65%。泊松模型在进球线市场上表现最佳,因为进球分布遵循泊松模式。

模型使用每队的预期进球数(xG)构建泊松概率表。它汇总所有总进球超过(大)或低于(小)指定线的比分概率。

今天最可能的大小球推荐是Over 1.5(Tefana vs Thionville Lusitanos,Coupe de France),概率为83%。

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