大小球 · 每场最佳进球线

2026-10-05 · 26 场比赛

直播比赛优先,然后按开球时间排列。

Over/under goals predictions today cover 26 matches across Superliga, UEFA Nations League, 1st Division, Friendly International, LaLiga 2. The Poisson model calculates the probability of total goals exceeding or staying under each goal line (1.5, 2.5, 3.5). Today's highest-confidence pick is Under 3.5 in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Racing Club (90% probability).

84'
Vélez Sarsfield2
Platense1
Superliga
Under 3.586%Under 2.567%Over 1.560%
93'
Estudiantes2
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza0
Superliga
Under 3.582%Over 1.565%Under 2.562%
75'
Cerro Porteño0
2 de Mayo2
Primera Division
Under 3.579%Over 1.568%Under 2.558%
49'
Nacional1
Montevideo City Torque0
Primera Division
Under 3.575%Over 1.572%Under 2.553%
FT
Córdoba3
Tenerife2
LaLiga 2
Under 3.576%Over 1.571%Under 2.554%
FT
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1
Racing Club2
Superliga
Under 3.590%Under 2.574%Over 1.553%
FT
Mauritius2
Sri Lanka3
Friendly International
Over 1.576%Under 3.570%Over 2.552%
FT
Uganda1
Congo DR1
Friendly International
Over 1.576%Under 3.571%Over 2.552%
FT
Deportivo Recoleta1
Libertad2
Primera Division
Under 3.574%Over 1.573%Under 2.553%
FT
Montenegro U211
Armenia U211
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification
Over 1.582%Under 3.562%Over 2.560%
FT
Cyprus0
Latvia0
UEFA Nations League
Under 3.576%Over 1.571%Under 2.554%
FT
Rwanda0
Kenya0
Friendly International
Over 1.577%Under 3.569%Over 2.553%

The highest-confidence over/under goals prediction today is Under 3.5 in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Racing Club (Superliga), with a 90% probability according to the model.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted pick is Under 3.5, appearing as the top selection in 12 fixtures.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific metrics sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly.

常见问题

大2.5球意味着比赛总进球3个或以上。小2.5球意味着2个或以下。泊松模型通过汇总所有总进球3+的比分概率来计算。

大小球2.5预测是最准确的足球投注市场之一,模型准确率通常为55-65%。泊松模型在进球线市场上表现最佳,因为进球分布遵循泊松模式。

模型使用每队的预期进球数(xG)构建泊松概率表。它汇总所有总进球超过(大)或低于(小)指定线的比分概率。

今天最可能的大小球推荐是Under 3.5(Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Racing Club,Superliga),概率为90%。

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