大小球 · 每场最佳进球线

2026-09-28 · 27 场比赛

直播比赛优先,然后按开球时间排列。

Over/under goals predictions today cover 27 matches across Brasileiro Serie B, UEFA Nations League, Friendly International, LaLiga 2, Mexico Liga MX. The Poisson model calculates the probability of total goals exceeding or staying under each goal line (1.5, 2.5, 3.5). Today's highest-confidence pick is Under 3.5 in MG阿美利加 vs EC Juventude (82% probability).

91'
Korea Republic1
Uruguay4
Friendly International
Over 1.575%Under 3.572%Over 2.550%
52'
Tajikistan2
Palestine2
Friendly International
Over 1.575%Under 3.572%Over 2.550%
18:30
雷加利斯
Castellón
LaLiga 2
Under 3.576%Over 1.571%Under 2.555%
FT
胡胡伊体操击剑2
图库曼圣马丁2
Primera Nacional
Under 3.582%Over 1.565%Under 2.562%
FT
León2
Juárez1
Mexico Liga MX
Over 1.577%Under 3.569%Over 2.553%
FT
Necaxa2
América4
Mexico Liga MX
Over 1.574%Under 3.573%Under 2.551%
09:30
Turkmenistan
Palestine
Friendly International
Over 1.575%Under 3.572%Over 2.550%
FT
Japan2
Venezuela1
Friendly International
Over 1.577%Under 3.570%Over 2.553%
14:00
Kyrgyz Republic
Maldives
Friendly International
Under 3.575%Over 1.572%Under 2.553%
16:00
Georgia
Ukraine
UEFA Nations League
Under 3.579%Over 1.568%Under 2.559%
16:00
Latvia
Cyprus
UEFA Nations League
Under 3.578%Over 1.569%Under 2.557%
16:00
Armenia
Montenegro
UEFA Nations League
Under 3.577%Over 1.570%Under 2.556%

The highest-confidence over/under goals prediction today is Under 3.5 in MG阿美利加 vs EC Juventude (Brasileiro Serie B), with a 82% probability according to the model.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted pick is Under 3.5, appearing as the top selection in 9 fixtures.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific metrics sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly.

常见问题

大2.5球意味着比赛总进球3个或以上。小2.5球意味着2个或以下。泊松模型通过汇总所有总进球3+的比分概率来计算。

大小球2.5预测是最准确的足球投注市场之一,模型准确率通常为55-65%。泊松模型在进球线市场上表现最佳,因为进球分布遵循泊松模式。

模型使用每队的预期进球数(xG)构建泊松概率表。它汇总所有总进球超过(大)或低于(小)指定线的比分概率。

今天最可能的大小球推荐是Under 3.5(MG阿美利加 vs EC Juventude,Brasileiro Serie B),概率为82%。

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