Chapecoense’s fragile backline invites pressure, while Mirassol’s attacking threat should find openings; at the other end, home urgency and sustained corner pressure give this contest a lively, end-to-end edge, making goals beyond the threshold likely.
Match GoalsOver 2.5
En iyi tahmin
KG VAR
52%
Doğru skor
Mükemmel
1-1
12.3%
7.00
Mükemmel
1-0
10.8%
11.00
2-1
9.1%
11.00
0-1
8.2%
9.00
2-0
8.1%
17.00
0-0
7.3%
12.00
1-2
6.9%
9.00
2-2
5.2%
13.00
145%
3.00TOP
X26%
3.50
229%
2.20
1X71%
X255%
1274%
Kombine
4 seçim
Chapecoense’s fragile defense—99% weaker than average—gives Mirassol a route to goals, while the hosts’ 5.78 xCorners supports a lively, corner-heavy contest. Combined first-half xG of 1.29 points toward an early goal; despite both attacks’ limitations, defensive vulnerability makes Over 2.5 plausible, with Draw or Mirassol the stronger side of the result.
1Double ChanceDraw or Mirassol
2Match GoalsOver 2.5
3Corners Over/UnderOver 8.5
4First Half Over/UnderOver 0.5
Probable XI3-5-2
Werner
Pacheco
Doma
Dudu
Camilo
Carvalheira
Antunes
Augusto
Alves
Barros
Borrero
Impact Player Hot Head Shooter
Franco Rossi — the danger man up front — one good ball and he is away
Tulio Eduardo — the danger man up front — one good ball and he is away
Yannick Bolasie — always sniffing around the box — the kind of player who just ends up on the scoresheet
Kadrolar henüz açıklanmadı — aşağıda tam kadro analizi
Chapecoense45 oyuncu
50.8/ 99Orta
En İyiler
1Neto PessoaFWD81
2Franco RossiFWD80
3Jean CarlosMID75
Mirassol FC SP49 oyuncu
50.7/ 99Orta
En İyiler
1Zé Roberto FWD90
2Chico KimMID79
3Nathan FogaçaFWD78
Chapecoense105
PlayerGenel DereceEtkiAgresyonDisiplin
Neto Pessoa81947541
Franco Rossi80826267
Jean Carlos75952372
João Vitor70625377
Rafael Thyere 69763083
Meritão64409685
Yago Felipe64488666
Tulio Eduardo62496184
João Paulo61706442
Rodrigo Moledo 61822256
Fernando59368563
Giovanni Augusto58694349
Bruno Leonardo56723546
Mirassol FC SP85
PlayerGenel DereceEtkiAgresyonDisiplin
Zé Roberto 90997456
Chico Kim79796966
Nathan Fogaça78927936
Lucas Mugni 68576272
Lucas Gazal67664572
Igor Formiga66456681
Danielzinho66583591
Bruno Matias65496771
Denilson65627256
Luiz Otávio62795837
Gabriel61884729
Japa60315991
Wallisson Luiz Alves Máximo60499942
Maç Öncesi Tahminler· Kadrolar henüz açıklanmadı
Gol Kralları
En yüksek etkiye sahip forvetler
1
Zé Roberto
Mirassol FC SP
Etki
99
2.28
2
Franco Rossi
Chapecoense
Etki
82
3.89
3
Kevin Ramírez
Chapecoense
Etki
64
4.48
4
Tulio Eduardo
Chapecoense
Etki
49
2.97
5
Yannick Bolasie
Chapecoense
Etki
46
3.89
6
Bruno Santos
Mirassol FC SP
Etki
45
2.38
Oyuncu sıralamaları
Keskin nişancılar
En büyük gol tehdidi
1
Zé Roberto Mirassol FC SP
99
2
Neto PessoaChapecoense
94
3
Nathan FogaçaMirassol FC SP
92
4
Franco RossiChapecoense
82
5
Renato MarquesMirassol FC SP
68
Duvar
En iyi savunmacılar
1
GabrielMirassol FC SP
88
2
Rodrigo Moledo Chapecoense
82
3
Luiz OtávioMirassol FC SP
79
4
Rafael Thyere Chapecoense
76
5
Willian MachadoMirassol FC SP
73
Kontrol
En iyi oyun kurucular
1
Jean CarlosChapecoense
95
2
Chico KimMirassol FC SP
79
3
José AldoMirassol FC SP
76
4
Giovanni AugustoChapecoense
69
5
Neto MouraMirassol FC SP
65
Yaramaz çocuklar
Kart görme olasılığı en yüksek
1
Lucas OliveiraMirassol FC SP
1
Agresiflik 30
2
José AldoMirassol FC SP
1
Agresiflik 59
3
Neto MouraMirassol FC SP
1
Agresiflik 53
4
Edson CariocaMirassol FC SP
1
Agresiflik 52
5
Carlos EduardoMirassol FC SP
5
Agresiflik 57
Güç sıralaması
Genel olarak en güçlüler
1
Zé Roberto Mirassol FC SP
90
2
Neto PessoaChapecoense
81
3
Franco RossiChapecoense
80
4
Chico KimMirassol FC SP
79
5
Nathan FogaçaMirassol FC SP
78
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular
Our Poisson model calculates the probability of every possible scoreline for Chapecoense vs Mirassol FC SP based on each team's expected goals (xG). The top-3 most likely scorelines are shown above with their probability percentages. Even the highest-probability score rarely exceeds 12-15% chance, as football is a low-scoring sport.
The Bet Builder combines multiple selections from the Chapecoense vs Mirassol FC SP match into one bet. Our AI identifies outcomes that complement each other — for example, a home win paired with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. All selections must win for the combined bet to pay out, which means higher combined odds but also higher risk.
xG (expected goals) measures the quality of scoring chances. If Chapecoense has an xG of 1.8, it means they are expected to score around 1-2 goals based on chance quality. The model uses pre-match xG to build a probability table for all possible scorelines. A team can overperform xG (score more than expected) or underperform xG (score fewer).
Yes, all predictions on ProSoccer are completely free. You can view predicted scorelines, over/under probabilities, and bet builder suggestions for Chapecoense vs Mirassol FC SP without paying or registering. Odds values are revealed after a tap to keep the page compliant with search engine guidelines.
A value bet occurs when the probability of an outcome is higher than what the bookmaker odds suggest. For example, if our model gives Chapecoense a 55% chance of winning but the odds imply only 40%, that is a value bet. Our AI highlights selections where the model probability exceeds the implied probability from the odds.
AI predictions use statistical modeling (Poisson distribution) based on historical data and pre-match metrics. They are more reliable over large samples than for any single match. No prediction is guaranteed — football has inherent unpredictability. Our model typically identifies the correct top-3 scorelines in 25-30% of matches, which is significantly better than random chance.