Doğru Skor Tahminleri · en iyi 3 skor

2026-10-05 · 26 maç

Önce canlı maçlar, sonra başlama saatine göre.

Correct score predictions today cover 26 matches across Superliga, UEFA Nations League, 1st Division, Friendly International, LaLiga 2. The Poisson model analyses xG data for each fixture to calculate the probability of every possible scoreline — today's highest-confidence pick is 0-1 in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Racing Club (undefined% probability).

48'
Uganda0
Congo DR0
Friendly International
1 – 111.7%1 – 010.5%2 – 19.5%
18:30
Córdoba
Tenerife
LaLiga 2
1 – 112.7%1 – 011.3%0 – 19.1%
FT
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1
Racing Club2
Superliga
0 – 120.4%0 – 017.1%0 – 212.1%
FT
Deportivo Recoleta1
Libertad2
Primera Division
1 – 112.1%1 – 012%2 – 19.4%
14:30
Montenegro U21
Armenia U21
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification
1 – 110.5%2 – 19.5%1 – 08.2%
15:00
Mauritius
Sri Lanka
Friendly International
1 – 111.7%1 – 010%2 – 19.4%
16:00
Cyprus
Latvia
UEFA Nations League
1 – 012.6%1 – 112.1%2 – 09.8%
16:00
Rwanda
Kenya
Friendly International
1 – 111.5%1 – 010.2%2 – 19.6%
16:15
Italy U21
Poland U21
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification
2 – 19.5%1 – 19.4%2 – 07.2%
16:30
Sweden U21
FYR Macedonia U21
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification
1 – 111%2 – 18.9%1 – 27.8%
17:00
Moss FK
Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
1st Division
1 – 19.3%1 – 29%2 – 17.1%
18:45
Italy
Türkiye
UEFA Nations League
1 – 112.6%1 – 012.5%2 – 19%

The highest-confidence correct score prediction today is 0-1 in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Racing Club (Superliga), with a undefined% probability according to the model. This means the Poisson distribution assigns a undefined% chance to this exact scoreline occurring — the strongest single-scoreline signal on today's slate. While no scoreline prediction is ever certain, this match stands out because the model's xG inputs converge clearly on one result.

Across today's 12 analysed matches, the most frequently predicted scoreline is 1-1, appearing as the top pick in 6 fixtures. This aligns with historical football data showing that 1-1 is among the most common final scores in the sport. The Poisson model naturally favours lower-scoring outcomes because football is a low-scoring game where results like 1-0, 1-1, 2-1, and 0-0 dominate the probability distribution for most matches.

Each prediction is generated from team-specific xG metrics — attack power, defensive strength, and overall goal expectation — sourced from SSTrader's pre-match data feed. All predictions are settled against real bookmaker results, and historical accuracy is tracked publicly on our accuracy page.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

Doğru skor tahmini, bir futbol maçının tam son skorunu tahmin eder. Modelimiz, her takımın beklenen gollerine (xG) dayalı bir Poisson dağılımı kullanarak her olası skorun (0-0 ile 5-5 arası) olasılığını hesaplar.

Doğru skor tahminleri doğası gereği düşük olasılıklıdır — en olası skor bile nadiren %12-15'i geçer. Modelimiz, maçların yaklaşık %25-30'unda en olası 3 skoru doğru bir şekilde belirler.

Tarihsel olarak 1-1 en yaygın doğru skordur, ardından 1-0, 2-1 ve 0-0 gelir. Poisson modeli bunu yansıtır çünkü futbol düşük skorlu bir spordur.

Bugün en olası doğru skor tahmini 0-1 — Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Racing Club (Superliga), modele göre %20.4 olasılıkla.

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