· Primera B
Real Cundinamarca
ATT
6/10
DEF
5/10
1:0
Real Cartagena
5/10
ATT
6/10
DEF
LIVE 41′

AI Match Analysis

Real Cartagena are already creating enough to turn this around: their sharper chance quality and repeated dangerous attacks show the equalizer is close. Cundinamarca’s early lead is a hurdle, not control of the game; Cartagena are knocking on the door and look well placed to find the next goal.

Second GoalReal Cartagena
Best Pick
Under 2.5
60%
Correct Score41′
Top
1-0
13.7%
8.00
Top
1-1
12.9%
6.50
0-0
10.2%
7.50
0-1
9.6%
8.50
2-0
9.2%
11.00
2-1
8.6%
12.00
1-2
6%
13.00
0-2
4.5%
13.00
146%
1.44TOP
X28%
4.00
226%
7.00
1X74%
X254%
1272%
Goal probabilityUpdating
82%
Before FT
Next 5'
16%
Next 10'
30%
Real Cundinamarca xG
0.80
exp 0.47+0.33
Real Cartagena xG
1.07
exp 0.47+0.60
End to end
xG — Expected Goals
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cundinamarca exp
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena exp
goal
Real Cundinamarca13Avg 16 · Peak 40
Open
Real Cartagena36Avg 22 · Peak 60
Momentum
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
GoalShot
per 15 min
0–15′
15–30′
30–45′
45–60′
60–75′
75–90′
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
41′Trends
One-Sided Push
Real Cundinamarca
10-min momentum
Real Cartagena
55%45%
Real Cundinamarca xG
0.80
exp 0.57+0.23
Real Cartagena xG
1.07
exp 0.57+0.50
Goal Probability Window
Next 5'
16%
Next 10'
30%
Next 15'
41%
Attack vs Defense
Real Cundinamarca Attack
6.1/10
Real Cartagena Attack
5.6/10
Real Cundinamarca Defense
5.9/10
Real Cartagena Defense
8.3/10
FT Predictions
Over 1.5TOP
82%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 1.5
18%
Under 2.5
48%
Under 3.5TOP
75%
BTTSTOP
64%
No more goals
18%
1 decided
Next Goal
Real Cundinamarca scores next
33%
Real Cartagena scores nextTOP
49%
No more goals
18%
Real Cundinamarca
2
exp 2.2-0.2
Real Cartagena
1
exp 2.2-1.2
Goal Probability Window
Next 5'
36%
Next 10'
59%
Next 15'
74%
FT Corners · 3 scored
Over 9.5
15%
Under 9.5TOP
85%
Over 8.5
28%
Under 8.5TOP
72%
Over 7.5
44%
Next Corner
Real Cundinamarca wins next corner
50%
Real Cartagena wins next corner
50%
Real Cundinamarca
1
exp 0.8+0.2
Real Cartagena
0
exp 0.8-0.8
Total
1/ 3.5
Late-game intensity
Low
~1.0 remaining
1.0
Exp. FT
3.5
FT Cards Predictions
Over 3.5
8%
Under 3.5TOP
92%
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5TOP
74%
Live 1X2
Real Cundinamarca WinTOP
57%
Draw
26%
Real Cartagena Win
17%
Goals
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTSTOP
64%
Corners
Over 9.5
15%
Over 8.5
28%
Pressure Index
Real Cundinamarca13
Real Cartagena36
Probable XI4-4-2
12
Mosquera
3
Cundumí
Al-Haj
Caviedes
27
Uribe
5
Cano
8
García
28
Machado
16
Zambrano
25
Carabalí
10
Castro
Impact Player Hot Head
Lineups not yet announced — full squad analysis below
Real Cundinamarca28 players
45.8/ 99Average
Top Rated
1Carlos ZambranoMID73
2C. UribeDEF68
3Alexis Fernán Estupiñán CundumíDEF64
Real Cartagena38 players
52.7/ 99Average
Top Rated
1F. MonteroFWD90
2Jarlan BarreraMID78
3Jhojan Camilo Nieva RoldánMID74
Real Cundinamarca49
PlayerOverall RatingImpactAggressionDiscipline
16
Carlos Zambrano73785464
27
C. Uribe68616961
3
Alexis Fernán Estupiñán Cundumí64715851
15
Jerónimo Rodríguez64794550
8
Carlos Jhoanny Gómez García62585960
2
Jhon Suaza55603263
1
M. Valencia53539651
20
Onel Acosta53377256
10
Brayan Castro50533750
9
C. Negrete49436455
23
Kevin Mauricio Esterilla Vidal47434456
28
Carlos Rios47464553
25
Gilberto Adrián Saavedra46454550
Real Cartagena48
PlayerOverall RatingImpactAggressionDiscipline
10
F. Montero90956270
7
Jarlan Barrera78994256
70
Jhojan Camilo Nieva Roldán74884659
21
Edison López66585673
33
Marlon Balanta64577058
28
Jhon Gamboa62762664
10
Gabriel Erazo62684161
9
Mauro Manotas6174952
23
Ronaldo Lora58435968
21
J. Rodríguez58416766
28
C. Paternina56624155
24
Guillermo Tegüé56593764
16
Jaen Pineda55396764
Player Rankings
Snipers
Top goal threats
1
F. MonteroReal Cartagena
95
2
Mauro ManotasReal Cartagena
74
3
Álvaro MeléndezReal Cartagena
60
4
Brayan CastroReal Cundinamarca
53
5
Yeiler ValenciaReal Cundinamarca
53
Wall
Top defenders
1
Jhon GamboaReal Cartagena
76
2
Alexis Fernán Estupiñán CundumíReal Cundinamarca
71
3
C. PaterninaReal Cartagena
62
4
C. UribeReal Cundinamarca
61
5
Jhon SuazaReal Cundinamarca
60
Control
Top playmakers
1
Jarlan BarreraReal Cartagena
99
2
Jhojan Camilo Nieva RoldánReal Cartagena
88
3
Jerónimo RodríguezReal Cundinamarca
79
4
Carlos ZambranoReal Cundinamarca
78
5
Gabriel ErazoReal Cartagena
68
Bad Boys
Most likely to get booked
1
Samuel Alejandro Flórez SeguraReal Cundinamarca
1
2
Stiven Moreno VásquezReal Cundinamarca
1
3
Fabian CueroReal Cundinamarca
1
4
Rionner FrutoReal Cundinamarca
1
5
Andrés CarabalíReal Cundinamarca
1
Power Rankings
Strongest overall
1
F. MonteroReal Cartagena
90
2
Jarlan BarreraReal Cartagena
78
3
Jhojan Camilo Nieva RoldánReal Cartagena
74
4
Carlos ZambranoReal Cundinamarca
73
5
C. UribeReal Cundinamarca
68

Frequently Asked Questions

Our Poisson model calculates the probability of every possible scoreline for Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena based on each team's expected goals (xG). The top-3 most likely scorelines are shown above with their probability percentages. Even the highest-probability score rarely exceeds 12-15% chance, as football is a low-scoring sport.

The Bet Builder combines multiple selections from the Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena match into one bet. Our AI identifies outcomes that complement each other — for example, a home win paired with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. All selections must win for the combined bet to pay out, which means higher combined odds but also higher risk.

xG (expected goals) measures the quality of scoring chances. If Real Cundinamarca has an xG of 1.8, it means they are expected to score around 1-2 goals based on chance quality. The model uses pre-match xG to build a probability table for all possible scorelines. A team can overperform xG (score more than expected) or underperform xG (score fewer).

Yes, all predictions on ProSoccer are completely free. You can view predicted scorelines, over/under probabilities, and bet builder suggestions for Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena without paying or registering. Odds values are revealed after a tap to keep the page compliant with search engine guidelines.

A value bet occurs when the probability of an outcome is higher than what the bookmaker odds suggest. For example, if our model gives Real Cundinamarca a 55% chance of winning but the odds imply only 40%, that is a value bet. Our AI highlights selections where the model probability exceeds the implied probability from the odds.

AI predictions use statistical modeling (Poisson distribution) based on historical data and pre-match metrics. They are more reliable over large samples than for any single match. No prediction is guaranteed — football has inherent unpredictability. Our model typically identifies the correct top-3 scorelines in 25-30% of matches, which is significantly better than random chance.

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