Atalanta’s forward thrust and home pressure should keep Parma pinned, while the visitors’ modest attacking threat may invite sustained waves of response. The hosts appear capable of driving the scoreline beyond a cautious start, making over two and a half the likelier script.
Match GoalsOver 2.5
Best Pick
Home Win
61%
Correct Score
Top
1-0
12.9%
8.50
Top
2-0
11.7%
7.50
1-1
10.7%
9.00
2-1
9.7%
8.50
3-0
7.1%
10.00
0-0
7.1%
15.00
3-1
5.9%
12.00
0-1
5.9%
21.00
161%
1.42TOP
X23%
4.20
217%
7.50
1X84%
X240%
1278%
Combined Bet Builder
2 legs
Atalanta’s stronger attack and expected territorial pressure should put Parma under sustained strain, while the visitors’ limited threat leaves the hosts well placed to control the contest. With Atalanta likely to drive the scoring and keep pressing, a home win alongside a high-scoring finish looks the natural outcome.
1Match WinnerAtalanta BC
2Match GoalsOver 2.5
Probable XI3-5-2
Rossi
Zappacosta
Scalvini
Bernasconi
Ketelaere
Éderson
Elmas
Kessié
Gaetano
Raspadori
Scamacca
Impact Player Hot Head Shooter
Giacomo Raspadori — the danger man up front — one good ball and he is away
Gianluca Scamacca — always sniffing around the box — the kind of player who just ends up on the scoresheet
Nikola Krstović — the danger man up front — one good ball and he is away
Lineups not yet announced — full squad analysis below
Atalanta BC30 players
54.7/ 99Average
Top Rated
1Nikola KrstovićFWD93
2Gianluca ScamaccaFWD80
3Isak HienDEF72
Parma35 players
48.5/ 99Average
Top Rated
1David RomeroFWD78
2Adrián BernabéMID68
3Rachid KoudaMID65
Atalanta BC45
PlayerOverall RatingImpactAggressionDiscipline
Nikola Krstović93998159
Gianluca Scamacca80756186
Isak Hien72587966
Giacomo Raspadori72654791
Giorgio Scalvini 69496385
Jonathan Rowe67555591
Honest Ahanor66458277
Lazar Samardžić66626860
Éderson60555762
Nicola Zalewski59634160
Thomas Kristensen58763545
Mario Pasalić57743048
Marten de Roon 57746730
Parma45
PlayerOverall RatingImpactAggressionDiscipline
David Romero78873267
Adrián Bernabé68662991
Rachid Kouda65597656
Diego Carlos63586557
Abdoulaye Ndiaye61565663
Djibril Diallo60457461
Franco Carboni59594661
Benja Cremaschi58475867
Simone Lontani58534772
Mandela Keita56394879
El Bilal Touré56395391
Mariano Troilo55755230
Vincent Sierro54486154
Pre-Match Predictions· Lineups not yet announced
Top Goalscorers
Attackers with highest impact
1
Nikola Krstović
Atalanta BC
Impact
99
2.17
2
David Romero
Parma
Impact
87
4.66
3
Gianluca Scamacca
Atalanta BC
Impact
75
2.17
4
Giacomo Raspadori
Atalanta BC
Impact
65
2.59
5
Pontus Almqvist
Parma
Impact
61
6.70
6
Jonathan Rowe
Atalanta BC
Impact
55
2.88
Player Rankings
Snipers
Top goal threats
1
Nikola KrstovićAtalanta BC
99
2
David RomeroParma
87
3
Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta BC
75
4
Giacomo RaspadoriAtalanta BC
65
5
Pontus AlmqvistParma
61
Wall
Top defenders
1
Thomas KristensenAtalanta BC
76
2
Mariano TroiloParma
75
3
Lautaro Valenti Parma
70
4
Berat DjimsitiAtalanta BC
68
5
Relja ObricAtalanta BC
63
Control
Top playmakers
1
Mario PasalićAtalanta BC
74
2
Marten de Roon Atalanta BC
74
3
Adrián BernabéParma
66
4
Gianluca GaetanoAtalanta BC
65
5
Nicola ZalewskiAtalanta BC
63
Bad Boys
Most likely to get booked
1
Raoul BellanovaAtalanta BC
1
Aggression 32
2
Kamaldeen SulemanaAtalanta BC
1
Aggression 41
3
Enrico Delprato Parma
1
Aggression 22
4
Hans Nicolussi CavigliaParma
1
Aggression 41
5
Jacob Ondrejka Parma
1
Aggression 40
Power Rankings
Strongest overall
1
Nikola KrstovićAtalanta BC
93
2
Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta BC
80
3
David RomeroParma
78
4
Isak HienAtalanta BC
72
5
Giacomo RaspadoriAtalanta BC
72
Frequently Asked Questions
Our Poisson model calculates the probability of every possible scoreline for Atalanta BC vs Parma based on each team's expected goals (xG). The top-3 most likely scorelines are shown above with their probability percentages. Even the highest-probability score rarely exceeds 12-15% chance, as football is a low-scoring sport.
The Bet Builder combines multiple selections from the Atalanta BC vs Parma match into one bet. Our AI identifies outcomes that complement each other — for example, a home win paired with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. All selections must win for the combined bet to pay out, which means higher combined odds but also higher risk.
xG (expected goals) measures the quality of scoring chances. If Atalanta BC has an xG of 1.8, it means they are expected to score around 1-2 goals based on chance quality. The model uses pre-match xG to build a probability table for all possible scorelines. A team can overperform xG (score more than expected) or underperform xG (score fewer).
Yes, all predictions on ProSoccer are completely free. You can view predicted scorelines, over/under probabilities, and bet builder suggestions for Atalanta BC vs Parma without paying or registering. Odds values are revealed after a tap to keep the page compliant with search engine guidelines.
A value bet occurs when the probability of an outcome is higher than what the bookmaker odds suggest. For example, if our model gives Atalanta BC a 55% chance of winning but the odds imply only 40%, that is a value bet. Our AI highlights selections where the model probability exceeds the implied probability from the odds.
AI predictions use statistical modeling (Poisson distribution) based on historical data and pre-match metrics. They are more reliable over large samples than for any single match. No prediction is guaranteed — football has inherent unpredictability. Our model typically identifies the correct top-3 scorelines in 25-30% of matches, which is significantly better than random chance.