Hoffenheim bring the sharper attacking threat, while Kiel’s home urgency should keep the contest lively. With pressure building at both ends, chances are likely to multiply and produce the goal-rich cup drama this matchup promises.
Match GoalsOver 2.5
Best Pick
Over 2.5
74%
Correct Score
1-1
7.8%
9.50
2-1
7.7%
19.00
1-2
7.5%
9.00
2-2
7.3%
13.00
3-1
5%
41.00
3-2
4.8%
34.00
1-3
4.7%
11.00
2-3
4.6%
17.00
141%
6.25TOP
X21%
4.50
238%
1.48
1X62%
X259%
1279%
Combined Bet Builder
3 legs
Hoffenheim’s 2.35 xG gives them the clearest route to victory, while Kiel’s 1.20 xG points to a credible home goal. With 3.55 expected goals combined, this matchup is well set for over 3.5 goals and both teams to score; Hoffenheim’s stronger attacking outlook makes the away win the logical bet-builder anchor.
1Match WinnerTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2Match GoalsOver 3.5
3Both Teams to ScoreYes
Probable XI3-5-2
Schmit
Medlin
Zec
Roslyng
Balzi
Muqaj
Ugoh
Meffert
Therkelsen
Kaprálik
Alidou
Impact Player Hot Head Shooter
A. Kaprálik — always sniffing around the box — the kind of player who just ends up on the scoresheet
Phil Harres — the go-to finisher in this side, and he loves these nights
Steven Skrzybski — the go-to finisher in this side, and he loves these nights
Lineups not yet announced — full squad analysis below
Holstein Kiel19 players
45.2/ 99Average
Top Rated
1Phil HarresFWD61
2Marcus MüllerFWD54
3A. KaprálikFWD53
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim23 players
52.3/ 99Average
Top Rated
1Max MoerstedtFWD68
2Wouter BurgerMID64
3Bambasé ContéMID61
Holstein Kiel39
PlayerOverall RatingImpactAggressionDiscipline
Phil Harres61544978
Marcus Müller54496456
A. Kaprálik53465267
Lio Rothenhagen52534550
Guillermo Balzi52524756
Alexander Bernhardsson52514856
Timon Weiner51519950
Leon Parduzi51564550
Faride Alidou50464861
Gyan de Regt47474550
Jonas Meffert46485044
Ivan Nekic45534737
Marko Ivezic43515631
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim37
PlayerOverall RatingImpactAggressionDiscipline
Max Moerstedt68784550
Wouter Burger64615367
Bambasé Conté61515867
Deniz Zeitler58605450
Tim Lemperle57475678
Bernardo56535756
Leon Avdullahu56544661
Adam Daghim55564656
Nathan De Cat54534856
Vladimír Coufal51484956
Muhammed Damar51544750
Albian Hajdari50605037
Cajetan Lenz50474756
Pre-Match Predictions· Lineups not yet announced
Top Goalscorers
Attackers with highest impact
1
Max Moerstedt
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Impact
78
2.10
2
Adam Daghim
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Impact
56
2.88
3
Phil Harres
Holstein Kiel
Impact
54
2.88
4
Gyan de Regt
Holstein Kiel
Impact
47
5.00
5
Tim Lemperle
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Impact
47
2.10
6
A. Kaprálik
Holstein Kiel
Impact
46
3.00
Player Rankings
Snipers
Top goal threats
1
Max MoerstedtTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
78
2
Deniz ZeitlerTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
60
3
Adam DaghimTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
56
4
Phil HarresHolstein Kiel
54
5
Alexander BernhardssonHolstein Kiel
51
Wall
Top defenders
1
Albian HajdariTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
60
2
Leon ParduziHolstein Kiel
56
3
Ivan NekicHolstein Kiel
53
4
BernardoTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
53
5
Robin HranacTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
53
Control
Top playmakers
1
Wouter BurgerTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
61
2
Leon AvdullahuTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
54
3
Muhammed DamarTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
54
4
Nathan De CatTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
53
5
Guillermo BalziHolstein Kiel
52
Bad Boys
Most likely to get booked
1
David ZecHolstein Kiel
2
Aggression 46
2
John TolkinHolstein Kiel
7
Aggression 52
3
Kasper DavidsenHolstein Kiel
10
Aggression 72
4
Hiroki SekineHolstein Kiel
26
Aggression 51
5
Lasse RosenboomHolstein Kiel
26
Aggression 53
Power Rankings
Strongest overall
1
Max MoerstedtTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
68
2
Wouter BurgerTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
64
3
Phil HarresHolstein Kiel
61
4
Bambasé ContéTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
61
5
Deniz ZeitlerTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
58
Frequently Asked Questions
Our Poisson model calculates the probability of every possible scoreline for Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim based on each team's expected goals (xG). The top-3 most likely scorelines are shown above with their probability percentages. Even the highest-probability score rarely exceeds 12-15% chance, as football is a low-scoring sport.
The Bet Builder combines multiple selections from the Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim match into one bet. Our AI identifies outcomes that complement each other — for example, a home win paired with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. All selections must win for the combined bet to pay out, which means higher combined odds but also higher risk.
xG (expected goals) measures the quality of scoring chances. If Holstein Kiel has an xG of 1.8, it means they are expected to score around 1-2 goals based on chance quality. The model uses pre-match xG to build a probability table for all possible scorelines. A team can overperform xG (score more than expected) or underperform xG (score fewer).
Yes, all predictions on ProSoccer are completely free. You can view predicted scorelines, over/under probabilities, and bet builder suggestions for Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim without paying or registering. Odds values are revealed after a tap to keep the page compliant with search engine guidelines.
A value bet occurs when the probability of an outcome is higher than what the bookmaker odds suggest. For example, if our model gives Holstein Kiel a 55% chance of winning but the odds imply only 40%, that is a value bet. Our AI highlights selections where the model probability exceeds the implied probability from the odds.
AI predictions use statistical modeling (Poisson distribution) based on historical data and pre-match metrics. They are more reliable over large samples than for any single match. No prediction is guaranteed — football has inherent unpredictability. Our model typically identifies the correct top-3 scorelines in 25-30% of matches, which is significantly better than random chance.