Athletico-PR look primed to take this. At home, they’re sharper in attack, constantly knocking on the door, and their back line has the clamps to keep Atlético-MG quiet. With the visitors’ frontline misfiring and Athletico’s pressure rising, the hosts should grind them down and turn dominance into a statement home win.
Match WinnerAthletico-PR
Best Pick
Home Win
55%
Correct Score
Top
1-0
11.9%
7.00
Top
1-1
11.4%
6.50
2-0
10.2%
9.50
2-1
9.7%
9.00
0-0
7%
9.00
0-1
6.7%
10.00
3-0
5.8%
17.00
3-1
5.5%
17.00
155%
2.05TOP
X24%
3.25
221%
3.60
1X79%
X245%
1276%
Combined Bet Builder
3 legs
This shapes up as a classic Brazilian shootout. Athletico-PR at home are all over teams, piling on chances and corners, and Atlético-MG love to bite back in transition. Both teams to score looks on the cards, momentum screams at least a third goal, and the constant wing play suggests the corner count keeps ticking past that line.
1Both Teams to ScoreYes
2Match GoalsOver 2.5
3Corners Over/UnderOver 8.5
Probable XI3-5-2
Bento
Dias
Terán
Dantas
Zapelli
Chiqueti
Dudu
Felipinho
Jádson
Rivaldo
Vargas
Impact Player Hot Head Shooter
Jorge Rivaldo — the danger man up front — one good ball and he is away
Kevin Viveros — always sniffing around the box — the kind of player who just ends up on the scoresheet
Leozinho — the danger man up front — one good ball and he is away
Lineups not yet announced — full squad analysis below
Athletico-PR50 players
52.3/ 99Average
Top Rated
1Juan AguirreDEF77
2Kevin ViverosFWD76
3Jorge RivaldoFWD75
Atlético-MG45 players
51.7/ 99Average
Top Rated
1Cauã SoaresFWD86
2AlexsanderMID77
3Bruno Fuchs DEF72
Athletico-PR86
PlayerOverall RatingImpactAggressionDiscipline
Juan Aguirre77794878
Kevin Viveros76776066
Jorge Rivaldo75819938
Marcos Victor69624189
Zé Vitor69559973
Matheus Babi66636961
Carlos Terán64524091
Léo64495972
Luiz Gustavo 63545173
Hugo Moura62473991
Praxedes62648244
Leozinho62644760
Lucas Esquivel61327491
Atlético-MG84
PlayerOverall RatingImpactAggressionDiscipline
Cauã Soares86996450
Alexsander77687575
Bruno Fuchs 72526489
Cadu 72824550
Fausto Vera71586475
Gustavo Scarpa71752589
Patrick Bezerra do Nascimento70496291
Angelo Preciado66529951
Natanael65395889
Vitor Hugo63684364
Fred 63625660
Hulk 63713057
Rony 63596065
Pre-Match Predictions· Lineups not yet announced
Top Goalscorers
Attackers with highest impact
1
Cauã Soares
Atlético-MG
Impact
99
3.89
2
Jorge Rivaldo
Athletico-PR
Impact
81
2.59
3
Kevin Viveros
Athletico-PR
Impact
77
2.38
4
Leozinho
Athletico-PR
Impact
64
3.20
5
Alan Minda
Atlético-MG
Impact
59
4.14
6
Tomás Cuello
Atlético-MG
Impact
49
4.48
Player Rankings
Snipers
Top goal threats
1
Cauã SoaresAtlético-MG
99
2
Cadu Atlético-MG
82
3
Jorge RivaldoAthletico-PR
81
4
Kevin ViverosAthletico-PR
77
5
DeyversonAtlético-MG
74
Wall
Top defenders
1
Juan AguirreAthletico-PR
79
2
VitãoAtlético-MG
73
3
Vitor HugoAtlético-MG
68
4
Pedro HenriqueAthletico-PR
67
5
Igor RabelloAtlético-MG
64
Control
Top playmakers
1
Gustavo ScarpaAtlético-MG
75
2
Igor GomesAtlético-MG
74
3
Bruno ZapelliAthletico-PR
68
4
João CruzAthletico-PR
68
5
AlexsanderAtlético-MG
68
Bad Boys
Most likely to get booked
1
Matheus FelipeAthletico-PR
1
Aggression 52
2
Pedro HenriqueAthletico-PR
1
Aggression 28
3
Ruan Atlético-MG
1
Aggression 41
4
Cristian PavónAtlético-MG
1
Aggression 38
5
DeyversonAtlético-MG
1
Aggression 52
Power Rankings
Strongest overall
1
Cauã SoaresAtlético-MG
86
2
Juan AguirreAthletico-PR
77
3
AlexsanderAtlético-MG
77
4
Kevin ViverosAthletico-PR
76
5
Jorge RivaldoAthletico-PR
75
Frequently Asked Questions
Our Poisson model calculates the probability of every possible scoreline for Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG based on each team's expected goals (xG). The top-3 most likely scorelines are shown above with their probability percentages. Even the highest-probability score rarely exceeds 12-15% chance, as football is a low-scoring sport.
The Bet Builder combines multiple selections from the Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG match into one bet. Our AI identifies outcomes that complement each other — for example, a home win paired with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. All selections must win for the combined bet to pay out, which means higher combined odds but also higher risk.
xG (expected goals) measures the quality of scoring chances. If Athletico-PR has an xG of 1.8, it means they are expected to score around 1-2 goals based on chance quality. The model uses pre-match xG to build a probability table for all possible scorelines. A team can overperform xG (score more than expected) or underperform xG (score fewer).
Yes, all predictions on ProSoccer are completely free. You can view predicted scorelines, over/under probabilities, and bet builder suggestions for Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG without paying or registering. Odds values are revealed after a tap to keep the page compliant with search engine guidelines.
A value bet occurs when the probability of an outcome is higher than what the bookmaker odds suggest. For example, if our model gives Athletico-PR a 55% chance of winning but the odds imply only 40%, that is a value bet. Our AI highlights selections where the model probability exceeds the implied probability from the odds.
AI predictions use statistical modeling (Poisson distribution) based on historical data and pre-match metrics. They are more reliable over large samples than for any single match. No prediction is guaranteed — football has inherent unpredictability. Our model typically identifies the correct top-3 scorelines in 25-30% of matches, which is significantly better than random chance.