· UEFA Nations League
Spain
ATT
5/10
DEF
5/10
4:1
Croatia
5/10
ATT
5/10
DEF
Full-time
Best Pick
Under 2.5
56%
Correct Score92′
Top
1-1
12.7%
15.00
Top
1-0
11.9%
9.50
0-1
9.1%
29.00
2-1
8.8%
9.50
0-0
8.6%
23.00
2-0
8.3%
7.50
1-2
6.8%
29.00
0-2
4.9%
51.00
144%
2.25TOP
X27%
3.72
229%
3.47
1X71%
X256%
1273%
xG — Expected Goals
Spain
Spain exp
Croatia
Croatia exp
goal
per 15 min
0–15′
15–30′
30–45′
45–60′
60–75′
75–90′
Spain
Croatia
Confirmed XI4-3-3
23
Simón
12
Pubill
5
Cubarsí
2
Huijsen
22
Cucurella
9
López
18
Zubimendi
8
Ruiz
19
Yamal
21
Oyarzabal
15
Baena
Impact Player Hot Head
Spain12 players
55.0/ 99Strong
Top Rated
1Mikel MerinoMID67
2Dani Olmo MID61
3PedriMID60
Croatia14 players
51.1/ 99Average
Top Rated
1Nikola VlašićMID60
2Ante BudimirFWD60
3Igor MatanovicFWD55
Player Rankings
Snipers
Top goal threats
1
Ante BudimirCroatia
60
2
Marco PašalićCroatia
59
3
Mikel Oyarzabal Spain
56
4
Igor MatanovicCroatia
55
5
Ferran TorresSpain
52
Wall
Top defenders
1
Pau CubarsíSpain
52
2
Aymeric LaporteSpain
51
3
Luka VuskovicCroatia
51
4
Josko GvardiolCroatia
49
5
Marc CucurellaSpain
47
Control
Top playmakers
1
PedriSpain
58
2
Luka Modrić Croatia
56
3
Mikel MerinoSpain
55
4
Mateo Kovacic Croatia
54
5
RodriSpain
53
Bad Boys
Most likely to get booked
1
Luka VuskovicCroatia
27
2
Unai SimónSpain
50
3
Marc CucurellaSpain
50
4
Pau CubarsíSpain
50
5
Ferran TorresSpain
50
Power Rankings
Strongest overall
1
Mikel MerinoSpain
67
2
Dani Olmo Spain
61
3
PedriSpain
60
4
Nikola VlašićCroatia
60
5
Ante BudimirCroatia
60

Frequently Asked Questions

Our Poisson model calculates the probability of every possible scoreline for Spain vs Croatia based on each team's expected goals (xG). The top-3 most likely scorelines are shown above with their probability percentages. Even the highest-probability score rarely exceeds 12-15% chance, as football is a low-scoring sport.

The Bet Builder combines multiple selections from the Spain vs Croatia match into one bet. Our AI identifies outcomes that complement each other — for example, a home win paired with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. All selections must win for the combined bet to pay out, which means higher combined odds but also higher risk.

xG (expected goals) measures the quality of scoring chances. If Spain has an xG of 1.8, it means they are expected to score around 1-2 goals based on chance quality. The model uses pre-match xG to build a probability table for all possible scorelines. A team can overperform xG (score more than expected) or underperform xG (score fewer).

Yes, all predictions on ProSoccer are completely free. You can view predicted scorelines, over/under probabilities, and bet builder suggestions for Spain vs Croatia without paying or registering. Odds values are revealed after a tap to keep the page compliant with search engine guidelines.

A value bet occurs when the probability of an outcome is higher than what the bookmaker odds suggest. For example, if our model gives Spain a 55% chance of winning but the odds imply only 40%, that is a value bet. Our AI highlights selections where the model probability exceeds the implied probability from the odds.

AI predictions use statistical modeling (Poisson distribution) based on historical data and pre-match metrics. They are more reliable over large samples than for any single match. No prediction is guaranteed — football has inherent unpredictability. Our model typically identifies the correct top-3 scorelines in 25-30% of matches, which is significantly better than random chance.

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