Atalanta’s forward thrust and home pressure should keep Parma pinned, while the visitors’ modest attacking threat may invite sustained waves of response. The hosts appear capable of driving the scoreline beyond a cautious start, making over two and a half the likelier script.
Match GoalsOver 2.5
Migliore scelta
Vittoria in casa
60%
Risultato esatto
Eccellente
1-0
12.7%
8.50
Eccellente
2-0
11.6%
7.50
1-1
10.7%
9.00
2-1
9.7%
8.50
3-0
7%
10.00
0-0
7%
15.00
3-1
5.9%
12.00
0-1
5.9%
21.00
160%
1.42TOP
X23%
4.20
217%
7.50
1X83%
X240%
1277%
Combinata
2 selezioni
Atalanta’s stronger attack and expected territorial pressure should put Parma under sustained strain, while the visitors’ limited threat leaves the hosts well placed to control the contest. With Atalanta likely to drive the scoring and keep pressing, a home win alongside a high-scoring finish looks the natural outcome.
1Match WinnerAtalanta BC
2Match GoalsOver 2.5
Probable XI3-5-2
Rossi
Zappacosta
Scalvini
Bernasconi
Ketelaere
Éderson
Elmas
Kessié
Gaetano
Raspadori
Scamacca
Impact Player Hot Head Shooter
Giacomo Raspadori — the danger man up front — one good ball and he is away
Gianluca Scamacca — always sniffing around the box — the kind of player who just ends up on the scoresheet
Nikola Krstović — the danger man up front — one good ball and he is away
Formazioni non ancora annunciate — analisi completa della rosa sotto
Atalanta30 giocatori
54.8/ 99Medio
Migliori
1Nikola KrstovićFWD93
2Gianluca ScamaccaFWD80
3Isak HienDEF72
Parma35 giocatori
48.5/ 99Medio
Migliori
1David RomeroFWD78
2Adrián BernabéMID68
3Rachid KoudaMID65
Atalanta45
PlayerValutazioneImpattoAggressivitàDisciplina
Nikola Krstović93998159
Gianluca Scamacca80756286
Isak Hien72587966
Giacomo Raspadori72654791
Giorgio Scalvini 69496385
Jonathan Rowe67545591
Honest Ahanor66458276
Lazar Samardžić66626860
Éderson60555762
Marten de Roon 60746935
Nicola Zalewski59634160
Thomas Kristensen58763544
Mario Pasalić57743048
Parma45
PlayerValutazioneImpattoAggressivitàDisciplina
David Romero78873267
Adrián Bernabé68652991
Rachid Kouda65597656
Diego Carlos62586557
Abdoulaye Ndiaye61565663
Djibril Diallo60457461
Franco Carboni59594661
Benja Cremaschi58475867
Simone Lontani58524772
Mandela Keita56394879
El Bilal Touré56395391
Mariano Troilo55755229
Vincent Sierro54486154
Previsioni Pre-Partita· Formazioni non ancora annunciate
Marcatori
Attaccanti con maggiore impatto
1
Nikola Krstović
Atalanta
Impatto
99
2.17
2
David Romero
Parma
Impatto
87
4.66
3
Gianluca Scamacca
Atalanta
Impatto
75
2.17
4
Giacomo Raspadori
Atalanta
Impatto
65
2.59
5
Pontus Almqvist
Parma
Impatto
61
6.70
6
Jonathan Rowe
Atalanta
Impatto
54
2.88
Classifiche giocatori
Cecchini
Maggior minaccia di gol
1
Nikola KrstovićAtalanta
99
2
David RomeroParma
87
3
Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta
75
4
Giacomo RaspadoriAtalanta
65
5
Pontus AlmqvistParma
61
Muro
Migliori difensori
1
Thomas KristensenAtalanta
76
2
Mariano TroiloParma
75
3
Lautaro Valenti Parma
70
4
Berat DjimsitiAtalanta
68
5
Relja ObricAtalanta
63
Controllo
Migliori registi
1
Mario PasalićAtalanta
74
2
Marten de Roon Atalanta
74
3
Gianluca GaetanoAtalanta
65
4
Adrián BernabéParma
65
5
Nicola ZalewskiAtalanta
63
Cattivi ragazzi
Più propensi ai cartellini
1
Raoul BellanovaAtalanta
1
Aggressività 32
2
Kamaldeen SulemanaAtalanta
1
Aggressività 41
3
Enrico Delprato Parma
1
Aggressività 22
4
Hans Nicolussi CavigliaParma
1
Aggressività 41
5
Jacob Ondrejka Parma
1
Aggressività 40
Classifica potenza
Più forti in assoluto
1
Nikola KrstovićAtalanta
93
2
Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta
80
3
David RomeroParma
78
4
Isak HienAtalanta
72
5
Giacomo RaspadoriAtalanta
72
Domande frequenti
Our Poisson model calculates the probability of every possible scoreline for Atalanta vs Parma based on each team's expected goals (xG). The top-3 most likely scorelines are shown above with their probability percentages. Even the highest-probability score rarely exceeds 12-15% chance, as football is a low-scoring sport.
The Bet Builder combines multiple selections from the Atalanta vs Parma match into one bet. Our AI identifies outcomes that complement each other — for example, a home win paired with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. All selections must win for the combined bet to pay out, which means higher combined odds but also higher risk.
xG (expected goals) measures the quality of scoring chances. If Atalanta has an xG of 1.8, it means they are expected to score around 1-2 goals based on chance quality. The model uses pre-match xG to build a probability table for all possible scorelines. A team can overperform xG (score more than expected) or underperform xG (score fewer).
Yes, all predictions on ProSoccer are completely free. You can view predicted scorelines, over/under probabilities, and bet builder suggestions for Atalanta vs Parma without paying or registering. Odds values are revealed after a tap to keep the page compliant with search engine guidelines.
A value bet occurs when the probability of an outcome is higher than what the bookmaker odds suggest. For example, if our model gives Atalanta a 55% chance of winning but the odds imply only 40%, that is a value bet. Our AI highlights selections where the model probability exceeds the implied probability from the odds.
AI predictions use statistical modeling (Poisson distribution) based on historical data and pre-match metrics. They are more reliable over large samples than for any single match. No prediction is guaranteed — football has inherent unpredictability. Our model typically identifies the correct top-3 scorelines in 25-30% of matches, which is significantly better than random chance.