Almeria’s commanding home attack should dictate the contest, with Oviedo’s threat helping turn pressure into an open, high-scoring battle. Leo Baptistao looks well placed to finish the hosts’ chances, while sustained attacks at both ends should keep the corner count climbing. Almeria victory, goals aplenty and Baptistao on target form a compelling story.
1Match WinnerAlmeria
2Match GoalsOver 2.5
3GoalscorersAnytime
4Corners Over/UnderOver 9.5
Confirmed XI3-6-1
1
Fernández
2
Luna
5
Pulido
18
Bonini
15
Lelo
29
Dzodic
14
Muñoz
7
Morcillo
11
Arribas
17
Cipenga
24
Fuente
Impact Player Hot Head
Almería31 giocatori
52.1/ 99Medio
Migliori
1Jon MorcilloFWD82
2Léo BaptistãoFWD73
3Stefan DzodicMID70
Real Oviedo27 giocatori
53.3/ 99Medio
Migliori
1Víctor MingoFWD88
2Daniel ParaschivFWD75
3Jacobo GonzálezFWD70
Classifiche giocatori
Cecchini
Maggior minaccia di gol
1
Léo BaptistãoAlmería
93
2
Jon MorcilloAlmería
86
3
Víctor MingoReal Oviedo
85
4
Daniel ParaschivReal Oviedo
80
5
Estanis PedrolaReal Oviedo
78
Muro
Migliori difensori
1
Dani CalvoReal Oviedo
80
2
Jorge Pulido Almería
79
3
Carlos DomínguezReal Oviedo
77
4
Edgar GonzálezAlmería
72
5
Rodrigo Ely Almería
70
Controllo
Migliori registi
1
André HortaAlmería
81
2
Youness LachhabReal Oviedo
68
3
Dani VillahermosaReal Oviedo
66
4
Álex CarderoReal Oviedo
65
5
Enzo Pérez MirandaReal Oviedo
62
Cattivi ragazzi
Più propensi ai cartellini
1
Nico MelamedAlmería
1
Aggressività 45
2
Carlos DomínguezReal Oviedo
1
Aggressività 36
3
David JiménezReal Oviedo
1
Aggressività 62
4
Estanis PedrolaReal Oviedo
4
Aggressività 71
5
Alexandru IșfanReal Oviedo
9
Aggressività 45
Classifica potenza
Più forti in assoluto
1
Víctor MingoReal Oviedo
88
2
Jon MorcilloAlmería
82
3
Daniel ParaschivReal Oviedo
75
4
Léo BaptistãoAlmería
73
5
Stefan DzodicAlmería
70
Domande frequenti
Our Poisson model calculates the probability of every possible scoreline for Almería vs Real Oviedo based on each team's expected goals (xG). The top-3 most likely scorelines are shown above with their probability percentages. Even the highest-probability score rarely exceeds 12-15% chance, as football is a low-scoring sport.
The Bet Builder combines multiple selections from the Almería vs Real Oviedo match into one bet. Our AI identifies outcomes that complement each other — for example, a home win paired with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. All selections must win for the combined bet to pay out, which means higher combined odds but also higher risk.
xG (expected goals) measures the quality of scoring chances. If Almería has an xG of 1.8, it means they are expected to score around 1-2 goals based on chance quality. The model uses pre-match xG to build a probability table for all possible scorelines. A team can overperform xG (score more than expected) or underperform xG (score fewer).
Yes, all predictions on ProSoccer are completely free. You can view predicted scorelines, over/under probabilities, and bet builder suggestions for Almería vs Real Oviedo without paying or registering. Odds values are revealed after a tap to keep the page compliant with search engine guidelines.
A value bet occurs when the probability of an outcome is higher than what the bookmaker odds suggest. For example, if our model gives Almería a 55% chance of winning but the odds imply only 40%, that is a value bet. Our AI highlights selections where the model probability exceeds the implied probability from the odds.
AI predictions use statistical modeling (Poisson distribution) based on historical data and pre-match metrics. They are more reliable over large samples than for any single match. No prediction is guaranteed — football has inherent unpredictability. Our model typically identifies the correct top-3 scorelines in 25-30% of matches, which is significantly better than random chance.